Whites Creek, Tennessee Weather Forecast Discussion

682
FXUS64 KOHX 110740
AFDOHX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
240 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
...New UPDATE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 234 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
- Overall dry pattern continues through the forecast period.
- Highs in the 90s starting tomorrow and continuing into next
  week.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 234 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
We are actually seeing a few active cells drifting across portions
of eastern Middle Tennessee early this morning. While a surface
ridge just to our east remains the dominant low-level feature, an
upper trough sits almost atop the surface ridge, and the showers
we are seeing are riding down the northwest flow aloft. We`ve
updated the short-term grids to account for the showers; a few may
linger into the morning. But overall, their impact will be
minimal.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Friday Night)
Issued at 1029 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
Some showers from a shortwave are present along the TN/KY border
this evening, but other than that, there`s not much about this
forecast to write home about. Thursday should be a quiet day, albeit
warmer. There is some suggestion still from the HREF and other
ensembles that some precipitation could fall across middle
Tennessee, but if that occurs, it will be light. No severe weather
is expected in the short term period.
As for temperatures, Highs on Thursday will touch 90 once again,
mainly west of the Cumberland Plateau. This is the beginning of a
ridging pattern pushing east over the area, and things will only
continue to heat up into the weekend and next week.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Thursday)
Issued at 1029 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
A ridge to our west will push east into the weekend, socking us into
a warmer and drier pattern. Not much humidity, and near zero rain
chances mean it`ll be nice and sunny. The downside of this is that
the mercury will continue to rise, getting into the mid 90s by
Sunday afternoon. Guidance is suggesting the ridge could flatten
some into mid-week next week, bringing our temperatures down to the
low 90s, but still much warmer than we`d like for September.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1155 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
VFR conditions with light winds will continue through the taf
period at BNA/MQY/CKV. CSV/SRB will have episodes of MVFR fog
overnight, and a few brief light showers will move across the
Upper Cumberland area in the late night hours. Daytime Thursday
will feature VFR area-wide with generally light north to
northeast winds.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      91  64  92  61 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    93  61  92  60 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     81  55  82  54 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       90  61  90  59 /  10  10   0   0
Cookeville     83  58  84  56 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      81  56  82  55 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   88  59  88  58 /  20  10   0   0
Murfreesboro   90  61  90  59 /  10   0   0   0
Waverly        91  62  92  61 /   0  10   0   0
&&
.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
UPDATE.......Rose
SHORT TERM...Holley
LONG TERM....Holley
AVIATION.....13

NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion