Waubeka, Wisconsin Weather Forecast Discussion

420
FXUS63 KMKX 200901
AFDMKX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
401 AM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Scattered showers and storms will continue at times this
  weekend into early next week.
- A Small Craft Advisory is in effect from Sheboygan to Winthrop
  Harbor into this afternoon due to breezy east to southeast
  winds and building waves.
- A Beach Hazard Statement is in effect from Sheboygan County
  south through Racine County due to a High Swim Risk into this
  afternoon. Persistent breezy east to southeast winds and
  building waves are forecast.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
Issued 401 AM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
Today through Sunday:
A broad trough will remain over the Northern Plains and Upper
Midwest this weekend. Moisture will be plenty, with
precipitable water values in the 1-1.50" range. Scattered
showers and a few storms are expected through Sunday. Chances
will be highest through this afternoon and then again tonight
into Sunday morning as shortwaves move through the broad trough.
Temperatures will be a little cooler this weekend due to the
clouds and shower/storm chances, though still near to a tad
above normal with highs in the low to mid 70s.
Persistent breezy east to southeast winds this morning into
this afternoon will result in a High Swim Risk for Lake Michigan
beaches from Sheboygan County south through Racine County. Life
threatening waves and currents are expected. Stay out of the
water, and stay away from dangerous areas like piers and
breakwalls.
DDV
&&
.LONG TERM...
Issued 401 AM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
Monday through Friday:
Light sly flow and a weak warm front will return on Mon quickly
followed by a weak shortwave trough and cold frontal passage Mon
nt. Light nely winds may then prevail for much of the week. A
shortwave trough will track from the nrn Rockies into the central
Great Plains early in the week, then becoming a cut off low over
the central USA from Tue nt-Fri. This may put srn WI on the nrn
fringes of a precipitation region from the low, but there is
uncertainty of the evolution and track of the stacked low.
Precipitation chances of 40-50% are forecast for Mon into Mon nt
followed by 10-20% chances for Tue nt-Fri. Above normal temps and
humidity early in the week will return closer to normal for the
middle and late portions of the week.
Gehring
&&
.AVIATION...
Issued 401 AM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
Ceilings and visibilities will drop below VFR conditions at
times early this morning, mainly for areas north and west of
Madison. Mainly VFR conditions are then expected for the
remainder of today into tonight. Scattered showers and storms
will persist today into tonight as a shortwave moves through a
broad trough across the region. Light south to southeast winds
are expected today into tonight, with somewhat higher winds
(10-15 knots) likely near Lake Michigan this morning into the
afternoon.
DDV
&&
.MARINE...
Issued 401 AM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
Breezy east to southeast winds will continue to develop early
this morning in response to high pressure around 30.3 inches
tracking across southern Quebec, while weak low pressure over
the eastern Dakotas and western Minnesota drifts northward. A
Small Craft Advisory is in effect into this afternoon. The
breezy conditions will weaken by later this afternoon with
winds becoming southerly for Sunday shifting southwest for
Sunday night into Monday. Showers and thunderstorms will become
likely later today into Sunday.
DDV
&&
.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...Beach Hazards Statement...WIZ052-WIZ060-WIZ066-WIZ071 until 4
     PM Saturday.
LM...Small Craft Advisory...LMZ643-LMZ644-LMZ645-LMZ646 until 4 PM
     Saturday.
&&
$$
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NWS MKX Office Area Forecast Discussion