Violet Hill, Arkansas Weather Forecast Discussion

973
FXUS64 KLZK 201643
AFDLZK
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1143 AM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 114 AM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
-Strong to severe storms will be possible across portions of the
 state later Saturday morning into the early afternoon with the
 best chances across portions of northern and central Arkansas.
-Patchy, dense fog will be possible across portions of the state
 through the early morning hours Saturday.
-Hot and humid conditions will continue today, lasting through
 early next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 114 AM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
To begin the period, a somewhat active weather pattern is expected
over the next several days as multiple shortwaves move across the
state. With it comes the chance for showers, thunderstorms, and
cooler temperatures. The best chance for rain through the period
will be Monday through Wednesday morning. While widespread severe is
not expected, some isolated storms could produce severe hail and/or
wind gusts. With that said, rain chances are possible over the
weekend however showers and storms will remain scattered and will
likely favor northern into central Arkansas.
As with any scattered convection, exact totals depend where storms
set up. Overall, most locations could see up to an inch of rain
through the middle of next week. Higher accumulations will be
possible for areas with consistent storms or training.
Some patchy, dense fog will be possible across portions of the state
this Saturday morning...especially in areas that received heavy
rainfall Friday afternoon and evening. If you plan to venture out
early Saturday morning, please use caution on roadways. Fog should
burn off/lift just after sunrise.
Temperatures are expected to be average to above average through
much of the period with high temperatures in the lower 80s (mainly
northern locations) to lower 90s and overnight low temperatures
dropping into the lower 60s to lower 70s across the state.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1143 AM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
The northern terminals of KHRO and KBPK will experience possible
showers and thunderstorms for the first few hours of the forecast
period which may drop VSBY to MVFR flight category. This has been
represented by TEMPO groups. Additionally, into early Sunday morning
VSBY from patchy, dense fog will drop flight category to MVFR flight
category before all both terminals return to VFR flight category
later Sunday morning. VFR flight category is expected to prevail at
all other terminals over the duration of the forecast period.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     67  92  67  89 /  30  30  40  60
Camden AR         66  93  68  91 /   0  20  10  30
Harrison AR       64  86  65  82 /  40  50  50  60
Hot Springs AR    67  92  67  89 /   0  10  30  50
Little Rock   AR  69  91  70  89 /  10  10  30  40
Monticello AR     70  94  70  93 /   0  20  10  20
Mount Ida AR      66  91  67  89 /   0  20  30  50
Mountain Home AR  64  88  65  86 /  50  40  40  60
Newport AR        67  93  68  89 /  20  30  40  50
Pine Bluff AR     68  93  68  92 /   0  10  20  30
Russellville AR   68  93  68  89 /  10  20  30  50
Searcy AR         67  93  67  90 /  10  20  30  50
Stuttgart AR      69  93  69  91 /  10  10  30  30
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...74

NWS LZK Office Area Forecast Discussion