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Thorp, Washington Weather Forecast Discussion

682
FXUS66 KPDT 261718
AFDPDT

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pendleton OR 1018 AM PDT Fri Sep 26 2025

.AVIATION... /18Z TAFs/

Aviation impacts will be minimal today as VFR conditions prevail across the region. The only concern is the potential for FU/HZ downwind of the Wildfires in Kittitas and Yakima Counties, though visibility will generally remain P6SM. Otherwise, expect a few high clouds with light winds following more typical diurnal trends. /MJ

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.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 407 AM PDT Fri Sep 26 2025/

AVIATION...12z TAFs...VFR conditions expected. Few-sct high clouds will give way to clear skies during the day today, before building back in later this evening. Winds will be light and terrain-driven less than 12 kts across all sites. Evans/74

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 334 AM PDT Fri Sep 26 2025/

DISCUSSION...

Dry and warm weather is expected though at least the end of Sunday. Surface high pressure will dominate the Inland Northwest creating conditions for light winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures climbing back into the lows 80s through the Columbia Basin and lower elevations of central Oregon Saturday and Sunday. Visibility may drop locally to 2-5 miles in the early through late afternoon across sections of northern Yakima and Kittitas counties where wild fires continue.

Late day Sunday or early Sunday evening might be the first instance of showers popping up across the eastern Mountains. The upper synoptic pattern transitions from a weak upper ridging pattern over the greater region to a southwest flow aloft as a trough approaches the coast. This sets up a band of higher mid level RH / clouds and rain over the weekend along the PAC NW , with increasing chances for rain showers and wetting rains across the Interior NW by late Sunday into Monday as the first lead shortwave breaks off the larger trough and heads inland. The synoptic trough will then pivot poleward through Wednesday toward the BC coast. NBM suggests a couple of peak times for highest chances of rain; late day/evening Monday and Tuesday night/overnight (40-60%) across a 6 hour basis, and 60-80% chances across a 24 hour basis (for measurable rain). Rain shadowing will relegate better than 50% chances for a quarter of one inch of rain to the eastern slopes of the Cascades. A more conservative one tenth of one inch or more has about a 50-70 percent chance of occurring across the Eastern Mountains. Tuesday night is the first instance of NBM producing a little snow accumulation in the Eagle Caps of the Wallowa Mountains..but negligible ( less than one half inch) in total with very low now to liquid ratios (probably mixed with rain). 71/Russell

FIRE WEATHER...

Low relative humidity returns This Afternoon across the area and the greater risk areas are east of the Oregon Cascades where the 25th percentile NBM members show relative humidity falling to 10 to 15% east of highway 97. A lack of wind however will steer the area clear of critical fire weather thresholds, as winds remain below 10 mph area-wide, both Friday and Saturday. A brief uptick in surface winds is anticipated on Sunday but with an increase in overall relative higher relative humidity. HRRR vertically integrated smoke fields show a marked increase in concentrations after 19z (11 am) downwind of the Wildcat and Labor Mountain Fires (Kittitas and Yakima counties). 71/Russell

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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... PDT 73 47 80 51 / 0 0 0 0 ALW 73 52 80 56 / 0 0 0 0 PSC 75 45 79 49 / 0 0 0 0 YKM 75 49 79 50 / 0 0 0 0 HRI 75 46 80 51 / 0 0 0 0 ELN 72 44 78 46 / 0 0 0 0 RDM 73 38 83 43 / 0 0 0 0 LGD 71 42 81 47 / 0 0 0 0 GCD 72 44 84 48 / 0 0 0 0 DLS 77 52 83 54 / 0 0 0 0

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.PDT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OR...None. WA...None. &&

$$

DISCUSSION...71 AVIATION...MJ

NWS PDT Office Area Forecast Discussion

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