115 FXUS64 KBMX 101647 AFDBMXArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 1147 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Thursday) Issued at 1145 AM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
Very little change is expected today and tomorrow compared to the past few days. Temperatures have started a gradual increase with highs in the mid to upper 80s expected today, increasing to the upper 80s to low 90s by tomorrow. Mostly clear skies are expected with a generally dry airmass in place.
25/Owen
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.LONG TERM... (Thursday night through next Tuesday) Issued at 1145 AM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
High pressure will build into the region by the end of the week and into the weekend as the main upper level trough shifts eastward. This will lead to a continued pattern of slightly warmer than normal conditions, though low humidity will keep heat indices very close to the actual temperatures.
The overall synoptic pattern doesn`t change much through early next week, so we`ll see continued dry weather with little to no chance for rain through Tuesday.
25/Owen
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.AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1145 AM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
VFR conditions expected through the period. Generally light easterly winds are in the forecast today, becoming variable to calm overnight, and increasing again out of the east tomorrow.
25/Owen
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.FIRE WEATHER...
The dry and hot weather pattern will continue through our 7 day forecast period. Min RHs will drop into the 30% range for most of the area by this afternoon and will persist through the end of the week. The center of the high pressure will build overhead over the weekend, leading to slightly higher daytime highs. This will result in MinRHs dropping into the 25-30% range for many locations on Saturday. Although values are currently forecast to remain above critical thresholds, drying soils will likely lead to expanding drought conditions. Winds should remain generally light with occasional gusts due to daytime mixing.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 86 59 89 61 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 85 60 87 62 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 87 64 90 65 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 90 64 92 65 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 87 63 91 65 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 85 62 88 64 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 86 61 90 64 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 85 60 88 62 / 0 0 0 0
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.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
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SHORT TERM...25/Owen LONG TERM....25/Owen AVIATION...25/Owen
NWS BMX Office Area Forecast Discussion