Slatyfork, West Virginia Weather Forecast Discussion

264
FXUS61 KRLX 111016
AFDRLX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Charleston WV
616 AM EDT Thu Sep 11 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure continues to support dry conditions for most of
the area through early next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 240 AM Thursday...
While an upper-level trough continues to slide over the eastern US,
high pressure and dry air in the low-levels will continue to support
quiet and predominantly dry conditions within the forecast area
through tonight.
Similar to the past couple of days, relative humidity is expected to
range from 25 to 35 percent across much of the lowlands this
afternoon. Despite low RH amid a prolonged stretch of dry weather,
fire weather concerns will continue to be tempered by the absence of
strong winds.
Daytime temperatures are expected to warm to around normal, with mid
70s to mid 80s in the lowlands and mid 60s to upper 70s in the
mountains. Overnight lows should generally be in the mid 40s to
50s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 240 AM Thursday...
In the upper levels, a trough recedes to the east while a ridge
builds in from the west late this week. Surface high pressure also
maintains residence over the Middle Ohio Valley and Central
Appalachians, allowing a prolonged period of uneventful weather to
persist through the end of the week.
Temperatures become warmer for the end of week, with highs expected
to be in the 80s in the lowlands and upper 60s to low 80s in the
mountains.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 240 AM Thursday...
While the majority of the long term forecast period should remain
dry due to a lingering ridge of high pressure, forecast confidence
is slightly lessened by the possibility of a few showers associated
with a front early in the week. This potential does, however,
remain fairly low at this point.
&&
.AVIATION /10Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 615 AM Thursday...
Locally dense river valley fog will erode in the next couple of
hours, allowing VFR conditions to resume for the entire area
through the majority of the TAF period. Some IFR/LIFR
restrictions could develop after 06Z as fog starts to form in
the river valleys again.
Light, northerly flow is expected across the area today, then winds
become calm to light and variable again overnight.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Low for fog. Otherwise, high.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Duration and extent of fog may vary from
the forecast.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
UTC 1HRLY       10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21
EDT 1HRLY       06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17
CRW CONSISTENCY  M    M    M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  M    M    M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  M    M    M    M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
PKB CONSISTENCY  M    M    M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  M    M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
AFTER 12Z FRIDAY...
IFR possible in early morning valley fog each morning.
&&
.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...20
NEAR TERM...20
SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM...20
AVIATION...20

NWS RLX Office Area Forecast Discussion