Sinclair City, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

207
FXUS64 KSHV 260449
AFDSHV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1149 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
...New DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1120 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
- Dry trend will continue through the upcoming weekend into much
   of next week.
- Milder temperatures will be here for a while as well with lower
   daytime humidity. Cooler temperatures will especially be felt
   at night with low temperatures through the weekend before
   temperatures begin to slowly moderate by the next work week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1149 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Mostly clear skies currently prevailing with near calm winds which
will allow temperatures to fall mostly into the upper 50s across
our far northern zones to the lower and middle 60s elsewhere.
Given the rainfall that fell Tuesday Night into Wednesday and the
fact that soils are still rather damp, we cannot rule out some
patchy fog overnight with the likelihood of that being across
portions of N LA and SW AR. Any fog should burn off quickly on
Friday with high temperatures ranging through the 80s albeit
with afternoon dewpoints falling into the upper 50s and lower 60s
resulting in quite comfortable humidity.
These kind of conditions are here for a while, at least through
the upcoming weekend as our region will be in between a longwave
trough across the Tenn Valley and upper ridging across the Texas
Hill Country into the Southern Plains. By late weekend into early
next week, our region will become more under the influence of the
upstream upper ridge and it`s during this timeframe that we should
begin seeing temperatures slowly moderate with perhaps a few 90s
returning to the forecast during the upcoming work week as well.
While it`s not in the forecast yet, we will need to watch the
upper trough across the Tenn Valley next week as there are some
indications that it could absorb some tropical moisture from the
Bahamas. If upper ridging can migrate north of the longwave
trough by late next week, this would allow the trough to
retrograde slowly westward and this would allow for some
precipitation chances returning to at least our eastern half
towards the tail end of this forecast cycle.
13
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 836 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
For 26/00Z TAF period, VFR conditions are expected through the
period with some lingering cu/altocu cigs across our northern and
eastern terminals this evening and overnight. Although we cannot
completely rule out the potential for some patchy low stratus and
fog closer to daybreak, low confidence precludes any mention in
this current TAF cycle and will reevaluate with future forecasts.
Otherwise, light northerly winds will prevail through the period
as drier air continues to filter into the region in the wake of
the recent frontal passage.
/19/
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1149 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  66  86  62  88 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  64  85  59  86 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  58  84  56  86 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  62  85  59  87 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  59  83  55  85 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  63  85  61  86 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  61  85  59  86 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  62  88  60  89 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...13
AVIATION...19

NWS SHV Office Area Forecast Discussion