Range, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

368
FXUS64 KMOB 012319
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
619 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
...New Aviation...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1224 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
A strong surface ridge will grip the southeast states tonight
into Thursday as Hurricane Imelda pulls eastward over the western
Atlantic. This ridge will bring increasing easterly winds the
latter half of the week, especially for our coastal communities.
Mostly dry conditions will persist through noon Saturday aside
from isolated light showers popping up along coastal Alabama.
Better rain chances will occur over the weekend into early next
week as a series of low-level easterly waves move across the
northern Gulf. We are still expecting isolated to scattered
showers and storms south of U.S. Highway 84 from Saturday
afternoon through noon Sunday. Isolated to scattered showers and
storms will follow Sunday afternoon through midweek across most of
the forecast area, with the highest rain chances occurring closer
to the coast. At this time, the bulk of the heavy rain will
remain out over the Gulf.
High temperatures in the middle to upper 80s Thursday will dip
slightly into the lower to middle 80s Friday through the weekend.
Highs should then rebound into the middle 80s all areas Monday and
Tuesday, and from 85 to 90 degrees midweek. Low temperature
tonight through Friday night will be in the lower to middle 60s
inland, and the upper 60s to lower 70s along the immediate coast.
Lows should then rebound into the middle 60s to lower 70s Saturday
night through the remainder of the forecast.
Beach Forecast: A LOW rip current risk is forecast through
tonight, followed by a rapid jump to HIGH on Thursday as
increasing easterly winds and building surf impact the beaches.
The risk will remain HIGH through the upcoming weekend as a strong
surface ridge grips the southeast states. /22
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 617 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
VFR conditions with very local afternoon showers expected.
Easterly winds 5 to 10 knots expected, with nightly drops to less
than 5 knots along and north of Highway 84.
/16
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1224 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
A Small Craft Advisory has been issued for the Gulf Thursday
through the weekend as strong easterly flow develops on the south
side of a strong surface ridge along the East Coast. Seas will
trend much higher, and could be as high as 8 to 10 feet well
offshore beginning late Thursday night. Small craft should
exercise caution over all bays and sounds beginning Thursday night
due to a moderate easterly flow. Until then, a light to
occasionally moderate northeasterly to easterly flow prevails
through tonight. /22
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk from Thursday morning through Monday
     afternoon for ALZ265-266.
FL...High Rip Current Risk from Thursday morning through Monday
     afternoon for FLZ202-204-206.
MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Thursday to 6 PM CDT Sunday for
     GMZ650-655-670-675.
&&
$$
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NWS MOB Office Area Forecast Discussion