Raccoon Bend, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

255
FXUS64 KHGX 191745
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1245 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1245 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
- More of the same Saturday.
- Increased moisture Sunday into next week should lead to better
  chances of showers and thunderstorms across the region.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1245 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Generally a persistence forecast into Saturday. By Sunday, we`ll
have a more predominate southeast flow in place. Corresponding
increase in Gulf moisture should bring additional cloud cover and
slightly lower high temperatures to the region Sunday into next
week. Daily shower/tstm chances should gradually increase as well.
Those with outdoor plans on Sunday, say from the metro area to
the coast, might want to pack an umbrella just in case. Doesn`t
necessarily look like a washout, but overall scattered precip
coverage looks to be highest in that general vicinity (and even
moreso offshore). Heading into next week, it looks like an equal
opportunity situation for most in the region with scattered,
mainly daytime activity inland and overnight/morning activity
offshore.
Model-to-model forecast upper level pattern varies through a good
part of next week. They`re not in the best agreement...which leads
to forecast uncertainty in regards to the nitty gritty details
and timing. Some suggest the potential for shortwave activity
moving through aloft, others suggest a weak mid-late week frontal
boundary to play with, etc, etc. Until we have some better
consistency/confidence, blended fcsts advertising sct daily precip
chances will be tough to beat at this point in time. 47
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 541 AM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Again saw some patchy fog develop during the predawn hours this
morning at our typical spots (CXO, LBX), but this will dissipate
shortly after sunrise this morning. VFR conditions are then expected
to persist across the area for the rest of the day. Some isolated
showers or storms will be possible again today with greatest
chances along the coast and north of Huntsville. Any activity that
does develop will wane by sunset. Light/variable winds will
continue through the early morning, then become east to
southeasterly around 7-12kt this afternoon and evening. Light
winds return overnight tonight, thus some redevelopment of patchy
fog is possible.
Fowler
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1245 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Light to occasionally moderate east to southeast winds and 2 to 4
foot seas should continue through Saturday along with some isolated
to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. A more predominate
southeast wind direction will emerge Sunday along with a gradual
increase in rain chances into next week. 47
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)  70  94  72  92 /   0  20  20  30
Houston (IAH)  73  93  74  90 /  20  30  20  60
Galveston (GLS)  79  90  79  88 /   0  20  50  60
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...47
AVIATION...Fowler
MARINE...47

NWS HGX Office Area Forecast Discussion