Pendergrass, Georgia Weather Forecast Discussion

850
FXUS62 KFFC 290122
AFDFFC
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
922 PM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025
...Late Evening Update...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 855 PM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025
- No impacts from Imelda are expected for North and Central GA.
- Dry conditions through the upcoming week except for 15-25%
   rain chances on Monday and Tuesday.
- Temps falling into the mid 70s and breezy winds each afternoon
   will lead to fall like conditions through late week.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 855 PM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025
The isolated showers previously observed across North GA have
begun to diminish. Skies are clear across most locations aside
from mid-level clouds to the north and high cirrus to our east
associated with Tropical Storm Imelda. Quiet conditions are
expected overnight. Some low level clouds are forecast to develop
Monday morning persisting through the day with an isolated chance
for an afternoon rain showers across eastern GA. East to
northeast winds will also be breezy through the afternoon Monday.
Made a few updates to reflect current trends and highlight
potential for isolated rain showers late Monday.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Monday)
Issued at 218 PM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025
Taking a good look at satellite and you can see that the front has
cleared the CWA, leaving a few lingering wisps of clouds but
otherwise much drier conditions then we`ve seen recently. Highs in
the mid to upper 80s today are expected to drop into the low 80s and
upper 70s tomorrow as high pressure gets established. This will be
the trend through the short term and will help to keep any tropical
threat well away from the Atlantic coast.
As we get further away from the front, winds are expected to pick up
tomorrow in the early afternoon. ENE winds at around 10-15mph could
gust as high as 25mph by tomorrow afternoon. Other than that, it
looks like the start of a beautiful week.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday morning through next Saturday)
Issued at 218 PM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025
The newly named Tropical Storm Imelda is centered about 95 miles
to the west of the central Bahamas, and is anticipated to move
slowly northward through the short term period. By the beginning
of the long term period on Tuesday morning, the center of Imelda
is expected to be positioned a couple of hundred miles to the
southeast of the Georgia coast. Ensemble guidance is coming into
better agreement that the storm will begin to turn eastward into
the Atlantic on Tuesday, accelerating as it moves towards Bermuda.
Examining the trends in the last few track forecasts from NHC,
the point at which the storm`s movement shifts from north to east
is trending further away from Georgia to the south and east. The
increasing agreement in an eastward turn further away from the
forecast area begets increasing confidence that wind and rain
impacts from Imelda will be minimal in north and central Georgia.
A moist airmass will be in place across the area on Tuesday, with
dewpoints in the mid to upper 60s. As temperatures rise into the
low to mid 80s, scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop
on Tuesday afternoon. PoPs will be highest (30-50 percent) in the
eastern portions of the forecast area, in the closest proximity to
Imelda, with progressively lower PoPs further west.
On Wednesday, a broad upper level ridge will become centered over
the east CONUS, with a strong surface high moving over New England.
A wedge of high pressure associated with this surface high will
spread into north Georgia as Imelda continues to retreat eastward
into the Atlantic. This synoptic setup will favor cooler and drier
conditions during the later part of the week and into the weekend,
with minimal rain chances, highs in the mid to upper 70s and lows in
the mid 50s to low 60s. Winds are furthermore expected to be
northeasterly during the mid to late week, rising to 10-15 mph with
gusts as high as 25 mph during the afternoon hours.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 746 PM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025
VFR conditions expected through most of the overnight period with
sct to bkn MVFR cigs expected early to mid-morning along with some
high cirrus at the eastern sites. E/ENE winds will pick up during
the afternoon with gusts up to 20kts. Iso -shra will also be
possible between 20-00z, though this is low confidence. Higher
confidence on occurrence of MVFR cigs on Monday.
//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...
Low confidence on occurrence and extent of shra
Medium confidence on MVFR cigs for Monday.
High confidence on remaining elements.
07
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          65  76  64  77 /  10  30  20  20
Atlanta         67  81  66  81 /  10  30  10  20
Blairsville     59  76  59  76 /  20  30  20  50
Cartersville    65  84  64  84 /  10  20  10  20
Columbus        68  84  67  84 /  10  10  10  10
Gainesville     66  79  65  79 /  10  30  20  30
Macon           67  79  66  81 /  10  30  20  10
Rome            65  86  66  86 /  10  10  10  20
Peachtree City  65  81  65  82 /  10  20  10  10
Vidalia         70  81  68  81 /  20  60  20  30
&&
.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Vaughn
LONG TERM....King
AVIATION...07

NWS FFC Office Area Forecast Discussion