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Parma, Arkansas Weather Forecast Discussion

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FXUS64 KLZK 300505
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 1205 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1242 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025

-Sunny skies are expected through the upcoming work week with a few afternoon diurnal cumulus.

-Mainly dry conditions will prevail through most of the upcoming work week across the state.

-Temperatures are expected to be seasonably warm averaging roughly 4 to 6 degrees for high temperatures through Friday.

&&

.DISCUSSION... Issued at 1055 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025

Quiet weather conditions will prevail through at least Wednesday throughout the Natural State. Surface high pressure over northern Illinois early this morning will remain anchored over the same general vicinity through Tuesday, then slide southeast into the Ohio river valley by Wednesday and to the east coast by the end of the work week. The influence of the ridge will provide mostly sunny skies and dry conditions with light winds and some afternoon diurnal cumulus clouds each afternoon through the forecast period. Temperatures will remain above average through the period averaging roughly 4 to 6 degrees above the climatological normal for high temperatures through at least the end of the upcoming work week.

Model guidance does show a weak disturbance rounding the periphery of the surface ridge leading to isolated chances for showers and thunderstorms on Thursday afternoon, but confidence in this solution is low and would not be surprised if all POPs are pulled from future packages.

&&

.AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1154 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025

An analysis of satellite early this morning shows some high level cloudiness streaming west to east across the western half of Arkansas. Widespread VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the entire forecast period with some diurnal CU expected again on Tuesday afternoon. Winds will be light and variable through the period but predominately out of the E/NE through the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 88 60 88 61 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 87 62 86 61 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 82 57 82 59 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 86 63 85 63 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 86 64 86 65 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 90 64 89 65 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 86 62 85 61 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 86 59 86 60 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 88 62 89 63 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 88 61 88 63 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 87 62 87 63 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 88 62 87 63 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 88 63 87 64 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&

$$

DISCUSSION...76 AVIATION...76

NWS LZK Office Area Forecast Discussion

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