102 FXUS64 KLCH 271720 AFDLCHArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 1220 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Clear skies and slightly cooler, drier air will continue through the weekend.
- No precipitation is expected over the next seven days.
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.SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Monday night) Issued at 1215 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
We are in a calm pattern with cool weather and clear skies for the next several days. High pressure is located to our north, and we can see the effects of the sinking air with satellites showing clear skies across the entire state of Louisiana and most of eastern Texas. Each afternoon temperatures will quickly rise in the upper 80s to low 90s as clear skies and dry air allow for efficient heating. At night temperatures will quickly drop into the 60s. The 00Z sounding from yesterday shows a strong subsidence layer at 750 mb. Steady north winds will continue to moderate our temperatures and dew points.
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.LONG TERM... (Tuesday through next Friday) Issued at 1215 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
The dry weather will continue for the rest of the forecast period as ridging builds overhead. To our east, a tropical disturbance will impact the east coast and will reinforce the northerly flow over our area. For the rest of the next week, a lack of features and a generally calm pattern will keep rain out of the forecast. By the end of the week, moisture return will start to cause rain chances to slowly increase with PoPs around 20% for the first week of October. Temperatures will slowly start to climb this week with highs easing back into the 90s for most of next week.
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.AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1215 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
VFR conditions will continue for the TAF period. Winds will be light and from the north.
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.MARINE... Issued at 1215 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
Calm winds and seas with north winds below 10 knots and seas below 3 feet.
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.FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1215 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
Dry weather and north winds will lead to worsening fire weather conditions this week. Minimum RH values will be in the 30 to 40% range each afternoon. Light winds will help moderate the threat with 20-foot winds staying below 10 knots the entire week.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AEX 59 87 61 89 / 0 0 0 0 LCH 64 88 65 89 / 0 0 0 0 LFT 63 88 65 89 / 0 0 0 0 BPT 65 88 64 89 / 0 0 0 0
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.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None. TX...None. GM...None. &&
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SHORT TERM...14 LONG TERM....14 AVIATION...14
NWS LCH Office Area Forecast Discussion