Morris Cemetery, Georgia Weather Forecast Discussion

295
FXUS62 KFFC 141850
AFDFFC
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
250 PM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025
...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Monday)
Issued at 227 PM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025
Key Messages
- No hazardous weather is anticipated over the next few days.
- Dry weather and partly cloudy skies continue.
Current satellite loop shows some fair weather CU developing across
the Southeastern U.S and some high clouds streaming south over the
state. The high clouds are associated with a very weak boundary
thats moving into the state from TN. There is not very much moisture
associated with this boundary so only expecting increased cloud
cover Today and Monday. This front has disrupted the continuity of
the high pressure ridge that has been over GA for the past week, but
it is expected to build back into the area Monday. There is a
developing closed low centered just off the carolina coast that is
not expected to move to much over the next 24 to 48 hours. This low
will push to moisture around its back side which will push into NE
GA Mon afternoon/night. Still only expecting increased cloud cover
with this if anything at all. The ridge building back down the
eastern seaboard will keep things very stable through next weekend.
Temperatures will remain steady with nearly identical diurnal trends
expected Today and Monday. Afternoon highs will peak in the mid
to upper 80s with morning lows in the lower to mid 60s.
01
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday morning through next Saturday)
Issued at 227 PM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025
- Dry pattern will persist through much of next week, with no
    meaningful precipitation until at least Friday.
-  Afternoon highs will rise during the early parts of the week,
    reaching into the upper 80s to low 90s by Thursday and
    Friday.
As the long term period begins on Tuesday, a highly amplified upper
ridge will be positioned over the eastern CONUS, with the axis
extending from the Mississippi River Valley towards the northern
Great Lakes. Also on Tuesday, a wave-break will have occurred with
with a longwave over the Eastern Seaboard, resulting in a cutoff
upper low near the Carolina coast. This low is expected to drift
northeast towards the mid-Atlantic coast through mid-week, though
some uncertainty remains with the exact progression of its movement.
The movement of this cutoff low is the main source of lingering
uncertainty with the precipitation forecast through much of the
week. Model guidance becoming more consistent about the low being
centered over eastern North Carolina by Tuesday night and becoming
an open wave over northern Virginia by Wednesday night. Aside from
the possibility of an isolated light shower in far northeast Georgia
on the back side of the low on Tuesday afternoon, the position of
the low is anticipated to be too far away to the northeast to
warrant more than 10% PoPs through Thursday.
Subsidence of warm and dry air underneath the upper ridge will
otherwise be keeping a lid on precipitation chances and keep PWATs
between 0.9-1.2 inches through Thursday. High temperatures on
Tuesday are expected to be in the mid to upper 80s across the
majority of the area, with the exception of some low 80s to the
northeast of the Atlanta metro area. These highs will steadily climb
underneath the ridge, and highs will largely be in the low 90s by
Thursday and Friday, which will be about 5-10 degrees above average
for mid-September. Overnight lows will be in the low to mid 60s each
morning. By Friday, the ridge will finally dampen as a shortwave
trough swings through the Great Plains around the periphery of a
closed low over central Canada. As an associated surface low
develops over the Midwest on Friday, a cold front will begin to work
its way towards the Tennessee Valley which could lead to a further
increase in chances for showers and thunderstorms going into next
weekend.
King
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1227 PM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025
Some high clouds streaming SW over North GA associated with a weak
boundary moving in from TN. Continued VFR ceilings with no
precipitation or restrictions to VSBYs expected. Winds will be
mainly out of the N to NE in the 3-9kt range
//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Confidence high on all elements
01
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          61  84  62  83 /   0   0   0   0
Atlanta         65  86  65  87 /   0   0   0   0
Blairsville     58  80  58  78 /   0  10   0  10
Cartersville    65  88  64  88 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus        65  89  64  90 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     63  85  63  83 /   0  10   0  10
Macon           62  86  62  87 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            65  89  64  88 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  62  86  62  87 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         61  87  62  88 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....King
AVIATION...01

NWS FFC Office Area Forecast Discussion