Monte Alto, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

650
FXUS64 KBRO 021731
AFDBRO
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Brownsville TX
1231 PM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1230 PM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025
- Increasing risk of rip currents return this weekend along the
   Lower Texas beaches.
- Daily low to medium (20-50%) rain chances return Friday through
   mid week next week, with the highest chances along the
   immediate coast and over the Gulf waters.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025
Mid level ridging aloft will maintain generally rain-free
conditions for this afternoon and evening, but is expected to
shift westward as a broad mid level low centered over the Gulf
Coast and Southeast US shifts slightly toward the southwest. In
combination with increasing moisture content and diurnal
instability, expect low (20% or less) precipitation chances to
return on Friday and low to medium (20-40%) precipitation chances
over the weekend. While most activity is expected to develop along
the sea breeze during peak daytime heating, the influence of the
mid level low and presence of elevated precipitable water values
may allow for isolated showers or thunderstorms to develop
overnight as well, mainly over the Gulf waters and immediate
coast. Any activity that develops will be capable of locally heavy
rainfall. Daily low precipitation chances, mainly associated with
the sea breeze, continue into mid week next week. Otherwise,
expect near to slightly above temperatures for early October to
persist across Deep South Texas.
For the Lower Texas beaches, a low risk of rip currents will
continue through Friday evening. However, it is likely well see
an increased risk of rip currents this weekend, so use caution if
youre planning to go to the beach.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025
VFR will prevail at all TAF sites through the forecast period.
Low precipitation chances (around 20%) return just beyond the 18Z
TAF timeframe at HRL and BRO.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025
Generally favorable marine conditions will prevail with low to
moderate seas and light to moderate winds. Wave heights will
increase to 3-5 feet over the Gulf waters due to increasing
easterly swell. Precipitation chances return heading into the
weekend and continue through early next week. Locally enhanced
winds and seas are expected within any showers or thunderstorms.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BROWNSVILLE             74  91  75  90 /   0  20  20  40
HARLINGEN               69  92  71  90 /   0  20  10  40
MCALLEN                 72  96  74  94 /   0  20  10  30
RIO GRANDE CITY         69  96  70  95 /   0   0   0  10
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND      80  86  79  85 /   0  20  30  40
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL     74  88  74  87 /   0  20  20  40
&&
.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...22-Garcia
LONG TERM....22-Garcia
AVIATION...22-Garcia

NWS BRO Office Area Forecast Discussion