Monroe, Tennessee Weather Forecast Discussion

957
FXUS64 KOHX 060420
AFDOHX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1120 PM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1119 PM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025
- Rain and thunderstorms comes to an end early Saturday, giving
  way to cooler temperatures this weekend.
- Next week will be dry with temperatures gradually heating each
  day back into the upper 80s to low 90s.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Sunday Night)
Issued at 1119 PM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025
A strong upper level low is set up over southern Ontario dropping
a cold front south into Middle TN. As the trough digs early
Saturday morning we will see the front stall out over the region
with periods of showers and thunderstorms ahead of it. The
thunderstorm activity will be elevated keeping the severe risk
very low. The front will start to drop south just before daybreak
and we will see a round of widespread rain with some embedded
thunderstorms. The front along with the widespread activity will
continue to move through the area during the morning hours.
Instability will remain elevated keeping the severe risk near
zero.
A few showers may linger over the Plateau into the afternoon,
otherwise dry and quiet weather will start to settle in. Highs on
Saturday will be much cooler only making it into the low to mid
70s. Quiet and pleasant weather can be expected for the second
half of the weekend as high pressure builds in from the Plains.
Sunday temperatures will warm some pushing back into the mid 70s
to lower 80s for highs.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday through next Saturday)
Issued at 1119 PM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025
Quiet weather is going to continue into the week as high pressure
slowly slides east and upper level ridging amplifies to our west.
With the ridge building to our west we will see warming
temperatures with highs starting in the mid 70s to lower 80s and
warming into the mid 80s to lower 90s by Thursday. Towards the end
of the week the upper level ridge will push east over us keeping
the hot weather in place. No rain is expected throughout the
week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 621 PM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025
Thunderstorms, some severe, will be in the BNA/MQY vicinity
through 05Z as a cold front passes through the area. Brief
cig/vsby impacts will occur at the terminals mostly from elevated
storms trailing the cold front. The front will shift winds from
WSW to NNW. CKV is already behind the front with no showers or
storms expected. The showers and storms will reach SRB and CSV
mainly 04Z-08Z.
After a break from the initial convection along the front, a
disturbance will bring showers and isolated thunder later on,
generally from 10Z-16Z. During this period, cigs/vsbys are
expected to be mainly MVFR. After 16Z, mainly VFR as drier air
arrive on NNW winds.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      62  74  54  82 /  80  50   0   0
Clarksville    59  74  50  81 /  70  50   0   0
Crossville     62  71  49  73 /  70  70   0   0
Columbia       62  74  51  81 /  80  50   0   0
Cookeville     61  71  51  74 /  70  60   0   0
Jamestown      61  70  50  73 /  80  70   0   0
Lawrenceburg   62  73  51  79 /  80  50   0   0
Murfreesboro   62  75  52  81 /  80  50   0   0
Waverly        57  73  50  81 /  70  40   0   0
&&
.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Mueller
LONG TERM....Mueller
AVIATION.....13

NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion