Mildland, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

647
FXUS64 KSHV 292344
AFDSHV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
644 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...Issued at 1250 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
- Dry conditions to continue to prevail across the region through
   this week, the only exception is a small chance on Thursday for
   portions of our eastern zones.
- Not much variation is expected with the highs and lows for the
   upcoming week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1250 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
I don`t know which is harder, having to write a discussion for a
very active weather period, or trying to come up with something to
write for a benign weather period. Either way, here we go. Things
are going to remain quiet through the upcoming week. There is a
weak disturbance that will move through on Thursday, bringing with
it a very low end chance for some convection across our far
eastern zones, but the remainder of the region will remain dry
throughout the week. As for temperatures, not much variation is
expected with them through the week. High temperatures will
generally range from around the mid 80s to the lower 90s
throughout the entire week and lows will be in the 60s each night.
I guess the more concerning thing about the forecast for this week
is the Ragweed Pollen that is in the air causing us all issues.
/33/
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 635 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
For the 30/00z TAFs...Terminals should stay VFR for the period.
The only exception to this would be if there is fog development
around sunrise tomorrow, which could be possible with the dropping
winds overnight. I have left BR out of this package due to the
continued low-level dry air bringing uncertainty. It does look
like the upper-level trough to the west will be bringing heavier
cloud cover across the area. The HREF and the NBM are agreeing on
the rough timing of the cloud movement and suggesting these
clouds will be elevated enough to be safely in the VFR category.
Surface winds will largely be north/northeasterly at a maximum
speed of around 6 kts. /57/
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1250 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
Storm spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  70  89  67  91 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  67  90  66  91 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  63  85  60  88 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  66  88  63  91 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  62  86  61  90 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  67  88  64  89 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  67  88  62  90 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  68  92  64  92 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...57

NWS SHV Office Area Forecast Discussion