736 FXUS64 KMOB 192325 AFDMOBArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 625 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
...New Aviation...
.DISCUSSION... Issued at 214 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Dry and hot conditions will continue through the weekend. A few isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible, however most areas will remain dry. A pattern change is possible by middle to late next week as an upper level trough digs across the plains states and slides east with an upper low developing across the Ohio Valley. Both global models show a frontal boundary moving into the southeast ahead of the upper trough by late in the week. Increasing deep layer moisture along with the approaching boundary will allow some rain chances to return to the forecast. However, due to the uncertainty this far out, will cap rain chances at around 30% at this point. Temps remain hot with highs in the low to mid 90s for this weekend. Highs may trend down slightly by next week with upper 80s and low 90s expected. /13
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.AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 623 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
VFR flight category continues to prevail across the region through Saturday outside of any isolated showers or storms. Winds will be light out of the northwest tonight, becoming generally northerly at less than 5 knots after daybreak Saturday. The afternoon seabreeze Saturday will shift winds across coastal counties out of the south at around 5 to 10 knots. MM/25
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.MARINE... Issued at 214 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
No impacts expected other than locally higher winds and seas possible near thunderstorms in the middle to latter part of next week. /13
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 68 94 69 92 68 90 68 91 / 0 0 0 10 0 10 0 20 Pensacola 73 92 73 89 72 88 73 89 / 0 0 0 10 0 10 0 10 Destin 74 89 74 88 73 88 73 88 / 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 10 Evergreen 66 96 66 94 65 93 65 94 / 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 10 Waynesboro 67 94 66 93 65 91 65 92 / 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 20 Camden 67 95 69 93 66 91 66 93 / 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Crestview 66 95 66 92 65 91 66 91 / 0 0 0 10 0 10 0 10
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.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. &&
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NWS MOB Office Area Forecast Discussion