Midfield, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

488
FXUS64 KBMX 261807
AFDBMX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
107 PM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1258 PM CDT FRI SEP 26 2025
- Cooler through the weekend. Back to above normal temperatures
   Sunday through Tuesday.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 1258 PM CDT FRI SEP 26 2025
The cold front is currently located just south of the I-20 corridor,
and will slowly continue dropping south over the course of today.
Given the current location of the low, additional wrap around
showers and thunderstorm will be possible today, but those will be
mostly scattered in nature. Once the cold front moves through
tonight, and winds decouple, widespread fog will be possible into
Saturday morning. Patches of this fog may be quite dense, and the
need for a Dense Fog Advisory will certainly be examined once the
fog starts to form.
Otherwise, overnight lows will range in the upper-50`s to low-60`s,
with afternoon highs on Saturday ranging in the low to mid-80`s.
/44/
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 1258 PM CDT FRI SEP 26 2025
Most eyes remain on the long-term forecast, and what kind of
influence we could see locally from Invest 94L. Unfortunately, there
is still a lot of uncertainty regarding the future track, and
whether or not it will eventually start to drift west. As of this
morning, more than half of the "hurricane specific" models bring
Invest 94L ashore somewhere near South Carolina. These same runs in
guidance continue to push the remnants of the disturbance west,
sometime in the day 5 period of the forecast.
The current forecast remains dry due to the lack of overall
confidence, but that could quickly change in the next few days, as
guidance starts to paint a better picture. Invest 94L would also
effect the temperatures across the region, given the increased rain
and cloud cover. Until the trend starts to shift, highs will
generally range in the mid-80s, with lows ranging in the low to mid-
60s.
/44/
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1258 PM CDT FRI SEP 26 2025
Low clouds continue to mix out, with most terminals returning to
VFR category in the next few hours. Isolated thunderstorm chances
remain in the forecast as well, with most terminals carrying
PROB30 groups through this evening. By tonight, widespread dense
fog is possible, with all terminals carrying LIFR VIS to account
for this through 27/16z.
/44/
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
MinRH values will generally range in the 40-50% range through next
week, with little to no rain currently in the forecast. There is
still plenty of uncertainty, but widespread rain could return to the
forecast by Wednesday, depending on the track of Invest 94L. Until
guidance starts to get a better handle on this scenario, the
forecast will remain dry, with drought conditions remaining across
the region.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     61  84  61  86 /  10  10   0   0
Anniston    63  83  63  85 /  10  10   0   0
Birmingham  63  85  62  88 /  10   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  63  87  62  89 /   0   0   0   0
Calera      63  86  62  89 /  10   0   0   0
Auburn      66  84  65  86 /  20  10   0   0
Montgomery  65  86  64  88 /  10   0   0   0
Troy        64  84  63  86 /  20   0   0   0
&&
.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM.../44/
LONG TERM..../44/
AVIATION.../44/

NWS BMX Office Area Forecast Discussion