Manhattan, Kansas Weather Forecast Discussion

060
FXUS63 KTOP 242311
AFDTOP
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Topeka KS
611 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- A few showers and an isolated non-severe thunderstorm or two
continue over eastern areas through this afternoon.
- Mostly patchy fog is possible overnight into early morning - not
expecting widespread dense fog at this time.
- A dry pattern looks to remain in place for much of the period with
seasonal temperatures in place.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 313 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
This afternoon, a few showers and a non-severe storm or two continue
across eastern areas before the heating of the day allows for any
showers and storm to dissolve as dry air continues to push generally
south into the region. Fog may form mainly in river valleys
overnight. Not anticipating any widespread dense fog formation as
the low level dry air will tend to offset the overall radiational
cooling aspects. Also, the northerly breeze may keep the boundary
layer partially mixed helping to keep any fog that does form to
remain shallow.
Expect a fairly quiet pattern to set up over the balance of this
week through the weekend as the upper air pattern suggests that the
main Westerlies reside well north of the region and a weak Omega
block sets up over the central CONUS Thursday and Friday before
flattening into the upcoming weekend. This should allow for little
airmass change and generally pleasant conditions to remain in place
through the this weekend. Expect highs to remain in the low 80s with
lows in the upper 50s. With dewpoints mainly in the 50s and possibly
low 60s, the overall humidity remains mostly comfortable.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 608 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
TAFs are expected to remain VFR through the period as winds
slowly back towards the northwest overnight tonight, staying
under 5 MPH. Could see some patchy fog develop across KTOP
around sunrise Thursday, but not expecting anything widespread
Any fog should remain shallow and confined to low-lying areas.
Confidence was not high in widespread fog, so kept mention out
of TAFs.
&&
.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Drake
AVIATION...Griesemer

NWS TOP Office Area Forecast Discussion