Lockhart, Indiana Weather Forecast Discussion

889
FXUS63 KPAH 081120
AFDPAH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
620 AM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Ongoing dry weather will continue at least the next seven
  days.
- Temperatures will trend hotter during the week, with daily high
  temperatures in the lower to middle 90s forecast Thursday
  through next weekend.
- The combination of dry vegetation, hot temperatures, and low
  relative humidity values may lead to an elevated risk of fire
  danger the second half of the week.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 620 AM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025
Updated Aviation discussion for the 12z TAF issuance.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 113 AM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025
Broad synoptic troughing over the northeast CONUS will gradually
yield to rising mid-level heights from the west across the
region through the week. As the surface high pressure located
over the eastern Great Lakes translates eastward, warmer
southerly flow will result in a major warmup as we go through
the week. Today will see temperatures at 850 mb around 8-10C,
which will result in temperatures near to slightly below normal
again. However, by Thursday through weekend, 850 mb temperatures
will warm to the around 15-17C, resulting in high temperatures
in the lower to middle 90s each day from Thursday through the
weekend. These values would be a few degrees shy of record high
temperatures.
The combination of the ongoing abnormal dry to moderate drought
conditions, the forecast of more dry rainfall through the next
seven days, and low daily relative humidity values could lead
to the potential for elevated fire weather conditions during the
second half of the week. However, forecast gradient winds still
look to be quite modest (4-8 kts during the afternoon hours at
most), which should act as a check on the fire danger concerns.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 620 AM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025
Other than some shallow fog at CGI through 14z, VFR conditions
are forecast for the 12z forecast package. Winds will be light
from the E-ENE around 5-10 kts under clear to mostly clear
skies. Will need to watch for additional shallow fog development
early Tuesday morning, but confidence was too low to include
with this forecast issuance.
&&
.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE...DWS
DISCUSSION...DWS
AVIATION...DWS

NWS PAH Office Area Forecast Discussion