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Llano, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

689
FXUS64 KEWX 221051
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 551 AM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Above normal temperatures continue until Wednesday.

- Confidence increasing in rain chances Wednesday and Thursday (currently 20-70%).

&&

.SHORT TERM (THROUGH TUESDAY)... (Today through Tuesday) Issued at 140 AM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025

An upper level ridge covers northern Mexico and the southwestern US bringing northwesterly flow over Texas. High pressure over the northern Gulf coast has the low level flow from the southeast. The airmass has not changed much over the last 24 hours and is warm and moist with temperatures in the middle 70s to lower 80s and dewpoints from the upper 60s to lower 70s. An upper level trough will move out of the Rockies into the plains during this period and turn the flow over Texas to the west. The low level flow will continue from the southeast reinforcing the warm, moist airmass. There may be enough lift over the Coastal Plains to generate isolated to scattered showers or thunderstorms each afternoon today and Tuesday. Elsewhere the upper ridge will suppress any convection. High temperatures will increase a couple of degrees today and Tuesday with continued warm advection. Highs will be well above normal with some places south and southwest of San Antonio reaching triple digits. Humidity will be high enough over the Coastal Plains to send heat indices to near Heat Advisory level Tuesday.

&&

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)... (Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 140 AM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025

A cold front will move through the Texas Panhandle into Central Texas Tuesday night. With the approach of the front there will be chances for convection spreading into our CWA from the north. The front will move through our CWA Wednesday. This will bring showers and thunderstorms through South-Central Texas with the best chances will be during the afternoon Wednesday. Perceptual water values will be near 2.0 inches ahead of the front, and we could see some locations in the Coastal Plains get and inch or two of rain Wednesday night. The front will stall somewhere near our southern border and rain chances will continue Thursday. Friday the front will dissipate and the upper trough will move to the southeastern part of the country. This will bring dry weather back to our area. Temperatures behind the front will drop back down to near normal for the end of the week.

&&

.AVIATION (12Z MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...

SCT to BKN MVFR ceilings continue to develop this morning mainly impacting I-35 terminals but may expand towards KDRT in the next few hours. Low clouds will scatter mid to late morning with VFR conditions returning for the rest of the day. An isolated shower or thunderstorm may develop east of I-35 terminals this afternoon or early evening but dry conditions are forecast at terminals. South to southeasterly wind will prevail under 12 knots but could see some local gusts up to 20 knots in the late afternoon and evening. MVFR ceilings are favored to develop along the I-35 corridor early Tuesday morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 76 98 76 92 / 0 10 30 70 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 75 98 75 93 / 0 10 20 70 New Braunfels Muni Airport 74 97 75 93 / 0 10 20 60 Burnet Muni Airport 74 95 72 86 / 0 0 40 70 Del Rio Intl Airport 77 98 78 94 / 0 0 10 50 Georgetown Muni Airport 74 97 74 91 / 0 10 40 70 Hondo Muni Airport 73 97 74 95 / 0 0 10 50 San Marcos Muni Airport 74 99 74 94 / 0 10 20 70 La Grange - Fayette Regional 74 96 75 92 / 0 20 10 70 San Antonio Intl Airport 76 97 77 94 / 0 10 20 60 Stinson Muni Airport 76 99 77 97 / 0 10 10 50

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...05 LONG TERM...05 AVIATION...27

NWS EWX Office Area Forecast Discussion

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