433 FXUS62 KCAE 091751 AFDCAEArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Columbia SC 151 PM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025
.SYNOPSIS... High pressure will dominate the weather pattern through the week with dry conditions and a slow warming trend.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Key Message(s):
- Dry and below normal temperatures persist.
Little change in the air mass as high pressure centered over New England continues to ridge down the East Coast. Forecast soundings show a very dry air mass in place with PWATs around a half inch. Temperatures are rising through the upper 70s under mostly sunny skies. Some passing thin high cirrus clouds may move across the region this evening into overnight, favoring the eastern half of the forecast area. Another cool night expected with strong radiational cooling with lows expected in the 50s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... Key message(s):
- Surface ridging and calm weather expected throughout the middle of the week.
Strong high pressure remains in place across the NE CONUS, extending surface ridging, northeasterly flow, and dry advection down the lee side of the of the Appalachians. While some weak troughing will remain draped across the TN Valley and Appalachians during this period, PWAT`s well below average and surface dews in the 50`s will prevent any appreciable cloud cover let alone precip chances. Temps will steadily rise both Wednesday and Thursday, back near average, as persistent clear skies and solar insolation moderates the airmass a bit.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... Key message(s):
- Surface ridging and calm weather expected throughout the middle of the week.
Strong high pressure remains in place across the NE CONUS, extending surface ridging, northeasterly flow, and dry advection down the lee side of the of the Appalachians. While some weak troughing will remain draped across the TN Valley and Appalachians during this period, PWAT`s well below average and surface dews in the 50`s will prevent any appreciable cloud cover let alone precip chances. Temps will steadily rise both Wednesday and Thursday, back near average, as persistent clear skies and solar insolation moderates the airmass a bit.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... High confidence in VFR conditions through the 24hr forecast period.
High pressure continues to dominate through the period with a dry air mass in place. The only impacts to aviation may be some gusty winds through the afternoon and some possible high clouds but no restrictions expected. Winds diminish overnight before picking back up to around 8 to 10 knots by 14z-15z Wednesday.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...A dry air mass will be over the region this week and no significant aviation restrictions expected.
&&
.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... SC...None. GA...None.
&&
$$
NWS CAE Office Area Forecast Discussion