Harleton, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

409
FXUS64 KSHV 261039
AFDSHV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
539 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1120 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
- Dry trend will continue through the upcoming weekend into much
   of next week.
- Milder temperatures will be here for a while as well with lower
   daytime humidity. Cooler temperatures will especially be felt
   at night with low temperatures through the weekend before
   temperatures begin to slowly moderate by the next work week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1149 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Mostly clear skies currently prevailing with near calm winds which
will allow temperatures to fall mostly into the upper 50s across
our far northern zones to the lower and middle 60s elsewhere.
Given the rainfall that fell Tuesday Night into Wednesday and the
fact that soils are still rather damp, we cannot rule out some
patchy fog overnight with the likelihood of that being across
portions of N LA and SW AR. Any fog should burn off quickly on
Friday with high temperatures ranging through the 80s albeit
with afternoon dewpoints falling into the upper 50s and lower 60s
resulting in quite comfortable humidity.
These kind of conditions are here for a while, at least through
the upcoming weekend as our region will be in between a longwave
trough across the Tenn Valley and upper ridging across the Texas
Hill Country into the Southern Plains. By late weekend into early
next week, our region will become more under the influence of the
upstream upper ridge and it`s during this timeframe that we should
begin seeing temperatures slowly moderate with perhaps a few 90s
returning to the forecast during the upcoming work week as well.
While it`s not in the forecast yet, we will need to watch the
upper trough across the Tenn Valley next week as there are some
indications that it could absorb some tropical moisture from the
Bahamas. If upper ridging can migrate north of the longwave
trough by late next week, this would allow the trough to
retrograde slowly westward and this would allow for some
precipitation chances returning to at least our eastern half
towards the tail end of this forecast cycle.
13
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 537 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
For the 26/12 TAF period...Some patchy BR will be possible this
morning, but it will lift by mid-morning. VFR conditions and
scattered CU can be expected during the afternoon hours, with
mostly clear skies by the end of the TAF period. /20/
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1149 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  86  62  88  62 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  85  59  86  59 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  84  56  86  57 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  85  59  87  60 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  83  55  85  56 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  85  61  86  61 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  85  59  86  60 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  88  60  89  60 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...13
AVIATION...20

NWS SHV Office Area Forecast Discussion