231 FXUS65 KGGW 190843 AFDGGWArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Glasgow MT 243 AM MDT Fri Sep 19 2025
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGES:
- There is potential for fog, dense at times to form in the eastern portion of the area.
- Dry and warming conditions are expected today through Sunday.
- A cold front will swing through Sunday to Monday to bring breezy conditions and possible light rain.
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A weak trough pattern will become a ridge into the day Sunday. Prior to this, there is moderate confidence of patchy dense fog forming along the low elevation locations east of Glasgow and along the Yellowstone River Valley. There is high confidence the fog will burn off by noon.
A warming trend with a cold front on Sunday night will allow temperatures to drop and bring low confidence of accumulating rainfall on Monday. There is very little indication of precipitation until late in the forecast, but confidence on this is currently low.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Used a mix of NBM and NBM 90 for winds on Day 1. Adjusted PoPs for cold front on Sunday night into Monday. Confidence is described in the discussion above.
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.AVIATION...
UPDATE: 0900Z, September 19th
FLIGHT CAT RANGE: MVFR to LIFR until 17Z, then VFR.
DISCUSSION: A slow moving low pressure and east surface winds are allowing low visibilities to begin. There is moderate (50 percent) confidence of fog, dense at times, occurring through late morning at KOLF, KSDY, and KGDV. Visibility and cloud ceilings have low potential to reach airport shutdown briefly. Then the fog is expected to lift by late morning to reach VFR conditions after 18Z.
WIND: From the SE and E around 5 to 15 kts today.
EQUIPMENT: Comms issues with the KSDY observation remain. AMD NOT SKED will remain in place until METARs are available.
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.GGW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM MDT this morning for Daniels- Dawson-Eastern Roosevelt-Richland-Sheridan-Western Roosevelt.
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weather.gov/glasgow
NWS GGW Office Area Forecast Discussion