Francis, Oklahoma Weather Forecast Discussion

572
FXUS64 KOUN 252301
AFDOUN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
601 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 600 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
- Seasonably average temperatures today.
- A warming trend starts Friday with above average temperatures
- Dry with no rain chances through the middle of next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of today and tonight)
Issued at 1234 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Our upper trough will be exiting to the east before an air mass
change. Diurnal heating will mix our boundary layer scattering the
afternoon skies with fair weather CU and warm near seasonable normal
scs temperatures in the lower to mid 80s areawide. Expecting CU to
dissipate after sundown clearing the night skies with light &
variable winds enhancing another cooler night with 50s lows.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Friday through Saturday night)
Issued at 1234 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
The pattern changes on Friday as an upper ridge starts building in
from the west.  Down at the surface as high pressure exits, a lee
low in eastern Colorado & New Mexico deepens shifting winds out of
the south advecting a warmer air mass into our area.  As a result
will see a trend of above normal temperatures becoming hot across
our southwest on Saturday with lower 90s highs.  Normals for late
September afternoons would be in the upper 70s to lower 80s across
our area.  Not expecting our warmup to be muggy due to weak if any
surface moisture advection.  On Saturday a surface high moving
across the Central Plains may push a dry backdoor cold front to the
Kansas/Oklahoma state line.  However NAM guidance for now is keeping
that front near but just out of our northern CWA while lifting it
back through the Central Plains as a warm front.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 1237 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Seasonably warm weather will continue Sunday into much of next week,
with temperatures dropping a few degrees Monday and Tuesday as
surface ridging builds in from the northeast and winds become more
easterly. By Wednesday and Thursday the surface ridge will move
to the east as lee cyclogenesis occurs in eastern Colorado. This
will turn our winds back to the south and keep temperatures
slightly above average for this time of year. With upper ridging
remaining largely in place over the region, no precipitation is
currently forecast through the end of next week.
Ware
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 600 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
This TAF period will be characterized by light and variable winds
and mostly clear skies.
Day
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  60  84  60  86 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         57  87  59  90 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  60  86  60  89 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           54  85  59  87 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     58  84  58  88 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         61  85  59  87 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
$$
NEAR TERM...68
SHORT TERM...68
LONG TERM....08
AVIATION...14

NWS OUN Office Area Forecast Discussion