Fort Raleigh National Historic Site, North Carolina Weather Forecast Discussion

595
FXUS62 KMHX 171143
AFDMHX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
743 AM EDT Wed Sep 17 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
A weakening coastal low will meander around the area today, then
move away tonight. A cold front will move through the area on
Saturday and stall offshore. A coastal trough or coastal low may
then develop along the stalled front early next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
As of 200 AM Wednesday...
Key Messages
- One more day of below normal temperatures today
The coastal low that plagued parts of the area over the past
couple of days is now located over the Virginia Tidewater region
this morning. The low is expected to meander around the NC/VA
border today while weakening. A moist, cyclonic flow around the
southern periphery of the low is expected to keep low clouds
socked in across much of ENC today. The one exception is across
areas south of HWY 70 where a drying westerly flow may allow
clouds to scour out quicker. Where clouds clear, low-level
thicknesses support highs quickly warming into the low 80s. This
is expected to setup a tighter temperature gradient across the
area, with areas north of HWY 70 struggling to get out of the
60s, especially where cloudcover is the most persistent.
Additionally, areas north of HWY 70 have the best chance of
seeing a few showers as an area of low-level convergence pivots
east through the area to the south of the low.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/...
As of 200 AM Wednesday...
The weakening coastal low will finally move more decidedly east
away from the area tonight. In the wake of the low, weakening
winds and clearing skies may support a fog risk across parts of
the area, especially inland where low clouds are expected to
clear the quickest. The latest probabilistic guidance suggests
the risk of dense fog is LOW (

NWS MHX Office Area Forecast Discussion