Florence, Mississippi Weather Forecast Discussion

983
FXUS64 KJAN 031731
AFDJAN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1231 PM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Mostly dry weather with warm days and cool nights expected into
   this weekend.
- Rain chances return early next week with increasing moisture
   and a disturbance over the region.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1231 PM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025
Through the weekend: The western periphery of a surface ridge
over the Mid Atlantic continues to extend into the area, while
more disturbed weather associated with a migratory upper low
remains situated over the Gulf. Easterly flow associated with the
surface ridge will keep most of our area dry and seasonably warm
this weekend. However, the Gulf disturbance and associated
moisture will waver northward into southern portions of the area,
providing potential for scattered showers and thunderstorms by
Sunday mainly south of I-20. Conditions may also be slightly
cooler - closer to seasonal normals - across south MS due to
greater cloud cover. /DL/
Next work week: Heading into early next week, the center of the
upper-level ridge will translate northeastward to the Mid-Atlantic
Coast as troughing over the West Coast deepens. The resulting
negative PNA pattern over the CONUS will result in southwesterly
flow aloft and squeeze to easterly flow at the Gulf Coast. Expect
deepening moisture (PWATs near 2.0 inches) and a disturbance
lifting into our region to bring rain chances into the new work
week. A cold front pushing south into the region by late week will
then serve to focus additional shower or thunderstorm chances
with more active flow aloft. /NF/
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1231 PM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025
VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. Easterly wind
may be gusty to around 20 kt at times through this afternoon,
calming by sunset. /DL/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       64  87  67  85 /   0   0   0  10
Meridian      61  85  65  84 /   0   0   0  20
Vicksburg     63  88  66  86 /   0   0   0  10
Hattiesburg   66  87  69  84 /   0   0  10  30
Natchez       64  88  65  84 /   0   0   0  20
Greenville    60  87  62  86 /   0   0   0  10
Greenwood     62  87  64  88 /   0   0   0  10
&&
.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&
$$
DL/NF

NWS JAN Office Area Forecast Discussion