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Fanshawe, Oklahoma Weather Forecast Discussion

326
FXUS64 KTSA 051056
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 556 AM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 555 AM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025

- Mostly dry weather with above normal temperatures into Monday.

- Limited grassland fire weather danger west of Highway 75 and south of U.S. Highway 412 this afternoon.

- Low shower and thunderstorm chances exist late Monday and Tuesday, along with slightly cooler temperatures Tuesday and Wednesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM... (Today) Issued at 1223 AM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025

Another mostly sunny, breezy, and unseasonably warm day is expected today, with afternoon high temperatures in the 80s to near 90 degrees. The warm and breezy conditions, combined with the lack of recent rainfall, will lead to a limited grassland fire weather danger this afternoon mainly west of Highway 75 and south of Highway 412.

&&

.LONG TERM... (Tonight through Sunday) Issued at 1223 AM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025

Increasing moisture Monday may lead to low shower and thunderstorm chances by Monday afternoon across far eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Otherwise, another day of unseasonably warm weather will occur, with lighter winds than today.

A weak cold front will move south across the area late Monday night and Tuesday, with low shower and thunderstorm chances associated with its passage. However, most places will remain dry. Temperatures will cool slightly following the frontal passage, but will still be near or slightly warmer than normal.

An upper ridge will build back over the area by late week into next weekend, with temperatures once again climbing to unseasonably warm levels.

&&

.AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 555 AM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025

VFR conditions will persist through the period. Skies will remain mostly clear. Breezy southerly winds will develop mid morning and continue through this evening before diminishing again. Gusts of 15-25 kts will occur, highest in northeast Oklahoma. No rain is expected.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 88 65 88 65 / 0 0 10 10 FSM 88 67 85 68 / 0 0 20 10 MLC 88 64 87 64 / 0 0 10 10 BVO 88 60 88 60 / 0 0 10 20 FYV 84 61 84 61 / 0 0 30 10 BYV 83 62 82 63 / 0 10 30 20 MKO 87 65 87 66 / 0 0 10 10 MIO 85 63 86 62 / 0 0 10 10 F10 87 63 87 64 / 0 0 10 10 HHW 85 65 85 66 / 0 0 10 10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. AR...None. &&

$$

SHORT TERM...05 LONG TERM....05 AVIATION...06

NWS TSA Office Area Forecast Discussion

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