Dustin, Oklahoma Weather Forecast Discussion

931
FXUS64 KOUN 061118
AFDOUN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
618 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 611 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
- Cooler this weekend, followed by a gradual warmup back to normal
next week.
- Very low chances for showers Sunday through Monday night,
   mainly western Oklahoma and western north Texas.
&&
.NEAR TERM...
(Through Saturday)
Issued at 1232 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
The cold front has shifted southeast of our forecast area, and with
it the main line of showers and storms. Some lingering showers will
continue to be possible behind the front (along the Red River
region) and in north central Oklahoma through early morning.
Saturday morning will feature some of the coolest temperatures we`ve
seen thus far this summer with lows in the 50s to lower 60s. This
afternoon will be dry and cool (highs in the 70s).
Day
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Saturday night through Monday night)
Issued at 1232 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
Sunday and Monday will feature slowly warming temperatures (highs in
the upper 70s to mid 80s), partly to mostly cloudy skies, and low
rain chances along the western fringe of our forecast area (driven
by upslope flow) as the upper trough departs and ridging begins to
move in.
Day
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 1232 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
The long term forecast will be dominated by an upper ridge, keeping
rain chances low and allowing temperatures to return to normal.
Models diverge for the upcoming weekend on the path of an
approaching trough that could bring additional rain chances to the
area.
Day
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 611 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
Stratus across western and northwest Oklahoma could reduce
terminal KCSM to a MVFR category and terminal KWWR to an IFR
category for periods between 12-15Z while stratus ceilings over
terminal KDUA in southeast Oklahoma could lower to MVFR category
between 14-17Z. Otherwise, all other terminals should remain in a
VFR category through the forecast period. North surface winds will
go light & variable by 16Z and should persist through the rest of
the forecast period as well.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  74  57  78  59 /  10   0  10   0
Hobart OK         77  58  83  62 /  10  10  10  10
Wichita Falls TX  78  62  82  63 /  20  10  10  10
Gage OK           75  56  80  60 /  10  10  10  10
Ponca City OK     76  53  81  57 /  10   0   0   0
Durant OK         77  64  82  59 /  20  10  10   0
&&
.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
$$
NEAR TERM...14
SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....14
AVIATION...68

NWS OUN Office Area Forecast Discussion