Dixie, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

765
FXUS64 KMOB 021754
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1254 PM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025
...New Aviation, Discussion, Marine...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1212 PM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025
A strong surface ridge will persist across the southeast states,
keeping our easterly winds elevated, especially for our coastal
communities. These winds will then decrease Sunday night and
Monday as the ridge weakens. Dry conditions will persist through
noon Saturday aside from isolated light showers popping up along
coastal Alabama. Better rain chances will occur over the weekend
into early next week as a series of low-level easterly waves move
across the northern Gulf. We are still expecting isolated to
scattered showers and storms south of U.S. Highway 84 from
Saturday afternoon through noon Sunday. Isolated to scattered
showers and storms will follow Sunday afternoon through midweek
across most of the forecast area with the highest rain chances
occurring closer to the coast, and we could see numerous showers
and storms on Sunday across our coastal communities. We are still
expecting the bulk of the heavy rain to remain out over the Gulf.
High temperatures in the lower to middle 80s Friday through Monday
will rebound into the middle 80s all areas on Tuesday, and from 85
to 90 degrees midweek. Low temperature tonight through Friday
night will be in the lower to middle 60s inland, and the upper 60s
to lower 70s along the immediate coast. Lows should then rebound
into the middle 60s to lower 70s Saturday night through the
remainder of the forecast.
Beach Forecast: We continue to see an upward trend in breaker
heights reaching the 5 to 6 foot range beginning late tonight.
Therefore, we went ahead and issued a High Surf Advisory from 3 AM
tonight to 6 PM Sunday. The higher breaker heights, along with
the HIGH rip current risk, will result in dangerous swimming and
surfing conditions along our beaches through the upcoming weekend.
Localized beach erosion is also possible. /22
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1212 PM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025
VFR conditions will prevail over the next 24 hours. Northeasterly
to easterly winds of around 10 knots, with occasional gusts up to
around 20 knots, will decrease by the evening hours. Winds will
restrengthen to around 10-15 knots, with gusts up to 20 knots, by
Friday morning. /96
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1212 PM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025
A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for the Gulf through the
weekend as strong easterly flow develops at the base of a strong
surface ridge across the southeast states. Seas will continue to
trend higher, and could be as high as 8 to 10 feet well offshore
by early Friday morning. Small craft should exercise caution over
all bays and sounds beginning tonight due to a moderate easterly
flow. Winds will gradually decrease on Monday with seas slowly
subsiding through Tuesday. /22
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      64  83  67  84  69  83  69  85 /   0  10  10  20  40  60  30  40
Pensacola   68  83  70  84  71  82  72  84 /   0  10  10  20  40  60  40  40
Destin      69  84  70  84  71  82  72  84 /   0  10   0  20  30  60  30  40
Evergreen   60  84  63  85  67  84  67  84 /   0   0   0   0  10  40  30  40
Waynesboro  60  83  63  84  66  83  67  83 /   0   0   0   0  10  30  20  30
Camden      59  83  63  84  66  82  67  82 /   0   0   0   0  10  30  20  30
Crestview   62  83  66  84  69  82  67  83 /   0   0   0  10  20  50  30  40
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk through Monday afternoon for ALZ265-266.
High Surf Advisory from 3 AM Friday to 6 PM CDT Sunday for
     ALZ265-266.
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Monday afternoon for FLZ202-204-
     206.
High Surf Advisory from 3 AM Friday to 6 PM CDT Sunday for
     FLZ202-204-206.
MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM CDT Sunday for GMZ650-655-670-
     675.
&&
$$
This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob

NWS MOB Office Area Forecast Discussion