558 FXUS64 KOHX 102352 AFDOHXArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 652 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
...New UPDATE...
.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 649 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
- Dry pattern will prevail through at least the next 7 days.
- Warming trend with highs mostly upper 80s to lower 90s late this week and some mid to upper 90s next week.
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.UPDATE... Issued at 652 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
Some clouds around middle Tennessee this evening. Some fog could be a possibility on the plateau tonight, but we`ll have to keep an eye on that. Forecast remains on track.
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.SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Thursday) Issued at 1032 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
All remains very quiet regarding the weather with this continuing through at least the next 7 days. Water vapor imagery this morning shows a shortwave moving over the area which is resulting in some mid to high level clouds today. The HREF shows this shortwave producing just a couple showers this afternoon, mainly near the TN/KY border. However, the chance that any of this produces even a hundredth of an inch is only around 10%. So still a dry, calm day in store with high temperatures warming into the mid and upper-80s. A troughing pattern continues over our area heading into Thursday, with the HREF picking up on a very low chance of a stray shower. Overall though, it`ll be another calm day with no hazardous weather expected.
Meanwhile, temperatures will be increasing with highs today reaching into the mid- and upper-80s and then getting into the low-90s for some locations on Thursday.
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.LONG TERM... (Thursday Night through next Wednesday) Issued at 1032 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
A large upper-level ridge will be strengthening over the Plains this week, and as we head into the weekend, this ridge of high pressure will be shifting to the east. For Middle TN, this means that temperatures will be rising. Highs will be in the 90s for most of the area, and even into the mid- and upper-90s by Sunday and Monday. A little good news is that humidity will remain low throughout this time. Otherwise, rain chances will be near zero this weekend and into next week.
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.AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 613 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
VFR conditions with light winds will continue through the taf period at BNA/MQY/CKV. CSV/SRB will have episodes of MVFR fog from 05Z-13Z, and shallow fog may briefly drop SRB obs to LIFR.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 66 92 63 91 / 10 10 0 0 Clarksville 64 93 61 93 / 10 10 0 0 Crossville 58 81 54 82 / 0 10 0 0 Columbia 64 90 60 91 / 0 10 10 0 Cookeville 60 83 56 84 / 0 10 0 0 Jamestown 59 81 55 82 / 0 10 0 0 Lawrenceburg 62 88 59 88 / 0 10 0 0 Murfreesboro 64 90 59 90 / 10 10 0 0 Waverly 64 91 61 92 / 10 10 10 0
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.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
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UPDATE.......Holley SHORT TERM...Clements LONG TERM....Clements AVIATION.....13
NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion