Coral Gbls, Florida Weather Forecast Discussion

540
FXUS62 KMFL 210452
AFDMFL
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
1252 AM EDT Sun Sep 21 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 1247 AM EDT Sun Sep 21 2025
Easterly to northeasterly flow will continue through the period with
deeper moisture gradually returning to the area. Coastal showers and
storms have persisted for the early portion of the night, and
these will likely begin again early this morning and continue into
the afternoon. Highest rain chances will remain across southern
portions of the area where deep layer moisture is maximized.
Additional chance for overnight and morning coastal showers and
isolated thunderstorms on Monday. As the day progresses and daytime
heating increases, showers and storms will develop over land and
push towards interior and southwest Florida through the evening
hours.
High temperatures will reach the upper 80s to low 90s with
overnight lows in the 70s.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 1247 AM EDT Sun Sep 21 2025
An upper level trough near the Great Lakes is forecast to slowly
extend southward towards the southeastern US early next week. By mid
to late week, the trough transitions into a cutoff low across the
central US where it will slowly drift towards the Ohio and Tennessee
Valley areas. This could lead to a weak boundary stalled across
central Florida and potentially facilitate additional moisture
transport across South Florida through the week. PWATs will
remain in the 2.0- 2.2 inch range which is more typical for this
time of year. East- northeast flow will prevail across South
Florida through this time period which will give the east coast
breeze the upper hand in dominating convective initiation, and
will keep the area of maximum rain chances across interior and
Southwest Florida each afternoon. Partly sunny conditions prevail
during the morning hours with isolated coastal showers possible
across Southeast Florida. Thunderstorm development is expected
across interior areas during the each afternoon as sea breezes
push inland and we reach maximum daytime heating. Slightly drier
air might move into the region towards the end of the week as the
boundary has the potential to pass south of the area. This could
drop rain chances for Friday into the upcoming weekend.
High temperatures through the period will reach the lower 90s with
overnight lows in the 70s.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1247 AM EDT Sun Sep 21 2025
VFR should prevail, however, brief periods of MVFR/IFR are still
possible with passing Atlantic showers early this morning.
Thunderstorm development is possible beginning around 18Z. Light
and variable flow returns overnight Sunday into Monday.
.MARINE...
Issued at 1247 AM EDT Sun Sep 21 2025
A moderate east-northeasterly breeze will continue today. Seas
across the Atlantic waters will generally remain between 2 to 3 feet
while seas across the Gulf waters remain at 1 to 2 feet. Despite
lower rain chances this weekend, a few showers and storms may
develop across local waters. Periods of rough seas and gusty winds
will be possible near the most robust shower and thunderstorm
activity.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            78  89  77  89 /  40  60  40  50
West Kendall     76  89  76  89 /  40  70  40  60
Opa-Locka        77  89  77  90 /  30  60  40  50
Homestead        76  88  76  89 /  50  60  50  50
Fort Lauderdale  78  88  77  89 /  40  60  40  50
N Ft Lauderdale  78  89  78  89 /  40  60  40  50
Pembroke Pines   78  91  77  92 /  30  60  40  50
West Palm Beach  77  88  76  89 /  30  60  40  50
Boca Raton       77  89  76  90 /  40  60  40  50
Naples           76  90  76  89 /  10  60  30  50
&&
.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...99

NWS MFL Office Area Forecast Discussion