Circle Pines, Minnesota Weather Forecast Discussion

492
FXUS63 KMPX 271716
AFDMPX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1216 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry today, but light winds will mitigate the fire weather
  conditions this afternoon.
- Warm & dry weather continues this coming week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1202 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY...Early morning satellite imagery and
surface observations showed clear skies and light winds across
the region as a weak cold front was departing to the southeast,
and surface high pressure was building in from the west. This
cold front passed through dry, with the only noticeable weather
being cooler temperatures.
On Sunday the high pressure will drift towards the Great Lakes,
setting the stage for southerly winds to develop. This will
bring warmer air across the region, which will keep temperatures
well above normal with highs in the 80s most of this coming
week.
This warm air will be fairly dry, so the most concerning part of
the forecast is the fire weather conditions. Southerly winds
will be breezy at times next week, but fortunately the fuels
have some moisture as we have yet to see a killing freeze across
the region.
By the time Friday arrives, there will be a few small chances
for showers and thunderstorms. This could signal a transition to
a wetter pattern for the following week as an upper level trough
digs out west, but there is still uncertainty on exactly where
the storm track will be.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1202 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
VFR conditions throughout with no aviation concerns. A few
airports near bodies of water could see patchy fog in the
morning. Winds will be northwest today, becoming light and out
of the west overnight, and eventually southerly on Sunday
KMSP...VFR conditions throughout with northwest winds becoming
light overnight and eventually southerly on Sunday.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
MON...VFR. Wind S 5-10 kts.
TUE...VFR. Wind SSE 5-10 kts.
WED...VFR. Wind SSE 5-10 kts.
&&
.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...JRB
AVIATION...JRB

NWS MPX Office Area Forecast Discussion