662 FXUS64 KSJT 040641 AFDSJTArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 141 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025
...New SHORT TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry and warm weather will continue through the weekend.
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.SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 140 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025
A few minor changes are expected in our weather today (compared to the past couple of days), but temperatures will remain about the same. Highs today are expected to be mostly 90-93 degrees, with a few upper 80s in southern portions of our area. The upper level ridge that has been in place over west and northwest Texas will weaken today, as an upper trough shifts east into the Rockies. Our area will have some increase in south to southeast winds today with an increasing surface pressure gradient. This to occur as a surface low deepens from northeastern Colorado across western Nebraska, as the leading portion of the aforementioned upper trough lifts across the central Rockies. Should have some afternoon cumulus over our area as low-level moisture increase a bit with the south to southeast low-level flow. Lows tonight are expected to be mostly in the lower to mid 60s.
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.LONG TERM... (Sunday night through next Saturday) Issued at 1152 PM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025
Above normal temperatures are expected to continue for the next week. Dry conditions will likely continue for Sunday, before rain chances increase slightly for Monday through Wednesday. Southeast surface winds will allow for continuous warm, moist air advection next week. This combined with diurnal heating and a weak front could be enough to trigger a few showers and storms next week. Models are showing a weak front moving into north Texas Tuesday into Wednesday. Convergence along the front could allow for the development of showers as it moves into the area. However, with the lack of upper level support and relatively weak nature of the front, rain chances will remain low for now (
NWS SJT Office Area Forecast Discussion