Choctaw, Mississippi Weather Forecast Discussion

923
FXUS64 KJAN 041114
AFDJAN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
614 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Warm and dry this weekend, with some rain chances returning
   during the upcoming work week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 245 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025
Today through next Friday...Another warm dry day will exist across
the CWA today.  Persistent easterly winds at the surface will
maintain the drier airmass across the region as dew points again mix
into the mid 50s and lower 60s this afternoon. Under mostly sunny
skies, highs will top out in the mid to upper 80s.
High pressure at the surface will remain wedged into the region from
the northeast through early in the work week.  Low pressure aloft
will assert itself across the region this weekend. However, it`ll
weaken early in the week, allowing high pressure aloft to build into
the region from the east.
During this time, the increased presence of the aforementioned
mid/upper low across the region, along with increasing moisture late
in the weekend into the work week, will bring about some better rain
chances across the forecast area Sunday through Tuesday. Still,
given the isolated to scattered nature of convection, much of the
area will remain dry.
On Wednesday, a fast moving cold front will sink south into and
through the forecast area.  This will allow for only an isolated
chance of a shower or storm across the region.  High pressure at the
surface will quickly build southeast into the Lower Mississippi
River Valley in the front`s wake.  Not much of an airmass change is
currently expected to accompany this frontal passage, as only a
slightly drier air will advect into the region.  Still, less humid
conditions will exist as highs hover in the 80s and lows generally
fall into the 60s Thursday and Friday. /19/
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 613 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025
VFR persists with conditions from previous issuance unchanged. A
few clouds will spread northwestward amid prevail easterlies
around 8kts./SAS/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       86  67  83  69 /   0   0  20  20
Meridian      84  66  83  68 /   0  10  20  20
Vicksburg     88  66  85  69 /   0   0  20  10
Hattiesburg   86  68  82  71 /   0  10  40  30
Natchez       88  66  84  69 /   0   0  30  10
Greenville    87  63  87  69 /   0   0  10  10
Greenwood     88  65  88  69 /   0   0  10  20
&&
.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&
$$
19/19/SAS20

NWS JAN Office Area Forecast Discussion