Cedar, Kansas Weather Forecast Discussion

433
FXUS63 KGID 281054
AFDGID
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
554 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Seasonably warm today with highs in the mid-upper 80s.
- Dry weather forecast through Friday.
- Above normal temperatures and sunshine continues through next weekend.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 341 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
Today...
Clear skies and light winds have let temperatures sink into the
upper 40s to mid 50s this morning. Aloft, ridging is building over
the Midwest with an upper level low centered over the CA/NV/AZ
border, placing the area under southwesterly flow aloft. A
seasonally warm but pleasant day is expected across the area today
in this southwesterly flow aloft. Highs have been on the higher side
of model guidance, so have blended in some NBM75th percentile. Highs
today will be in the mid to upper 80s, but wouldn`t be surprised if
some areas south of I-80 sneak into the 90s. Southerly winds will be
strongest west of Highway 281, gusting 15-20mph. Lows tonight
will be in the upper 50s to low 60s.
Monday and Tuesday...
Southwesterly flow aloft continues on Monday and Tuesday. Plenty of
sunshine and above normal temperatures are expected with highs in
the 80s and lows in the upper 50s to low 60s. Given the similar
pattern to today/previous days, would not be surprised if
temperatures continue to trend higher as we get closer. Breezy winds
are possible during the afternoon hours, gusting 20-25mph, but could
be higher if greater mixing can be achieved.
Wednesday Onwards...
In what starts to sound like a broken record, southwesterly flow
aloft persists through the end of the work/school week. Above normal
temperatures (highs 80s lows upper 50s/low 60s), mostly sunny skies
and breezy afternoon winds are expected each day. The forecast
remains dry through the end of the forecast period, through a
passing disturbance on Wednesday could bring a low chance for rain
that`s not currently depicted by the NBM. Differences in model
guidance increase by the end of next week. Still, models remain in
enough agreement to show a stronger trough arriving sometime
next weekend, which looks to be the next chance for more
widespread rain for the area. Another thing to keep an eye on as
we move into October will be drying fuels. Being at the end of
the growing season, combined with this stretch of warm and dry
weather will allow fuels to steadily dry out, which may result
in fire weather concerns returning as we move into October. For
now, fuels remain green and fire weather concerns are low.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 553 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
For KGRI/KEAR Airports:
VFR conditions through TAF period.  Winds become southeast and
increase this morning, with sustained winds around 10kts during the
afternoon. Gusts of 15-20kts are possible this afternoon at KEAR.
Winds steadily decrease this evening with gusts below 10kts
overnight. Marginal LLWS is forecast to develop before midnight and
persist through the end of the TAF period. A few high level clouds
are possible Sunday night/Monday morning.
&&
.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Davis
AVIATION...Davis

NWS GID Office Area Forecast Discussion