Carmichael, Mississippi Weather Forecast Discussion

493
FXUS64 KMOB 170526 CCA
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion...Correction
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1225 AM CDT Wed Sep 17 2025
...New Aviation, Discussion, Marine...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1222 AM CDT Wed Sep 17 2025
Now through Monday...
A closed upper low over the East Coast opens, leaving a weakening
upper trough centered along the East Coast into the weekend. This
will keep the Southeast under dry northeasterly upper flow into the
weekend in the process. Shortwave energy moving east of the
Mississippi River digs an upper trough over the river through the
weekend into the coming week, with the trough shifting east to
over the Eastern Conus in the coming week. A surface ridge
develops over the Appalachians, then builds southwest through the
rest of the week into the weekend, bringing east to southeast low
level flow to the Southeast, moving Gulf and Atlantic moisture
inland over the region. The forecast area will see an increasing
chance of showers and thunderstorms in the coming week.
A weak ridge building over the Southeast the rest of the week will
bring high temperatures rising to well above seasonal norms through
the forecast, with around 90s expected over most of the forecast
area Wednesday, then rising to the low to mid 90s by Saturday. The
advancing upper trough will drop high temperatures back into the
upper 80s to around 90 by Monday. More seasonal low temperatures in
the mod 60s to near 70 Wednesday night to the upper 60s to low 70s
for the rest of the forecast.
Weak, diurnally driven flow and decreasing tidal cycle will keep the
risk of Rip Currents Low through the weekend into the coming week.
/16
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1222 AM CDT Wed Sep 17 2025
VFR conditions will prevail over the next 24 hours. Light and
variable winds during the overnight hours will become a light
easterly to southeasterly flow later today. Winds over coastal
counties will turn more southerly during the afternoon. /96
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1222 AM CDT Wed Sep 17 2025
No impacts expected other than locally higher winds and seas
possible near thunderstorms.
/16
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      66  91  68  93  69  94  70  91 /   0   0   0   0   0  10   0  10
Pensacola   70  90  71  92  72  92  73  89 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  10
Destin      71  88  73  89  73  89  73  89 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  10
Evergreen   64  94  66  95  65  95  67  93 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  10
Waynesboro  64  92  67  93  67  93  67  92 /   0   0   0   0   0  10   0   0
Camden      66  93  68  93  67  94  68  91 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Crestview   64  93  65  94  65  93  67  91 /   0   0   0   0   0  10   0  10
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob

NWS MOB Office Area Forecast Discussion