Camp Claiborne Louisiana Weather Forecast Discussion

596
FXUS64 KLCH 071731
AFDLCH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1231 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Very warm and humid conditions are expected until a cold front moves
  across on Thursday. An upper level high and dry air aloft will
  keep any significant shower activity form developing.
- A dry continental air mass will move into the region behind the
  cold front and linger into the weekend. This will keep
  significant rain chances out of the forecast with lower humidity
  and cooler night time lows.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Thursday night)
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Surface analysis shows a weak stationary boundary draped from near
Memphis into SE TX, while a cold front is just behind it draped
across MO/OK and into north TX. Aloft, broad flat ridging is
situated across the northern Gulf Coast and somewhat drier air is
noted overhead in WV imagery. After a very foggy start to the
morning skies have finally become partly sunny across the forecast
area, while temperatures currently range from the upper 70s to mid
80s along with dewpoints in the mid to upper 70s.
Ridging aloft will gradually shift westward and amplify across
the Plains through the mid/late week, keeping dry air aloft and a
cap on convection overhead. At the same time, moisture remains
elevated at the surface through the next couple of days, until the
passage of a cold front on Thurs finally ushers in some drier air
later in the week. Until then, expect a continuation of the hot
and humid weather of the last few days, with highs reaching into
the low 90s today and tomorrow along with overnight lows in the
upper 60s to low 70s. Thurs will bring a transition period, as the
front moves through early allowing for highs to warm into the mid
to upper 80s however, the drier air looks like it`ll hang back a
bit and won`t fully arrive until Thurs afternoon/night, with PWATs
expected to gradually fall throughout the day. No precip is
expected with this frontal passage, thanks to ridging aloft.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Monday)
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Friday into the weekend will bring our most pleasant stretch of
weather through this forecast period, as dry air fully filters down
into the CWA Thurs night allowing PWATs to fall below 1" for a
couple of days. Dewpoints plummet into the low to mid 50s for
sunrise Fri, leveling off in the upper 50s to low 60s range Fri
through Sun. Temperature wise, highs top out in the mid 80s through
the weekend while lows fall into the upper 50s to low 60s.
A slight increase in low level moisture is expected by late Sun into
early next week however, the upper levels will remain dry as
troughing develops across the SErn US and reinforces a dry NWrly
flow overhead. While humidity/dewpoints increase slightly Sun
through Tues (particularly for those along and south of I-10) mostly
sunny skies and overall dry weather will continue. This uptick in
moisture will be mainly noticeable in slightly warmer afternoon
highs and overnight lows.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Scattered cloud deck around 3000ft will persist overhead through
the afternoon, with some sites occasionally seeing more broken
ceilings/brief periods of MVFR. Otherwise, light mainly
north/northeast winds will continue through the afternoon.
Tonight, skies will become mostly clear while winds go calm. Areas
of fog will again be possible overnight however, dense fog like
last night is not expected. Tomorrow, winds remain NE and increase
a bit while VFR conditions prevail.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Light east to northeast winds along with a few isolated showers
will continue this afternoon into tonight. Tomorrow, winds will
become light to modest from the northeast as weak surface high
pressure ridging across the Gulf coast states will build into the
coastal waters. The offshore winds along with seas will increase
by Thursday as a cold front moves into the coastal waters.
Offshore winds will remain elevated through the end of the week.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Shallow low level moisture will persist overhead into Thursday
until the passage of a cold front that will usher in a drier
airmass Thurs night through the weekend. Afternoon minimum
relative humidity values are expected to be between 50 and 60
percent through Wednesday, falling into the low 40s to low 50s
thereafter. Despite low level moisture overhead, ridging aloft
will keep rain chances near zero through the rest of the week and
into the weekend.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  68  88  63  83 /  10  10   0   0
LCH  71  90  70  87 /  10  10   0   0
LFT  71  90  69  87 /   0  10   0   0
BPT  71  90  70  88 /  10  10   0   0
&&
.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...17

NWS LCH Office Area Forecast Discussion