Calf Creek, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

017
FXUS64 KSJT 241938
AFDSJT
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
238 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
...New LONG TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Showers and thunderstorms will continue for the I-10 corridor
  and southern Heartland this afternoon.
- Cooler temperatures and dry weather late this week and this
  weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 111 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
The cold front has moved to the south of our forecast area today.
Behind the front, showers and thunderstorms are pushing south into
the I-10 corridor and southern Heartland. This activity is expected
to remain sub severe, with the main hazards being heavy rainfall and
dangerous lightning. The cold front and dense cloud cover has kept
temperatures around 15 to 25 degrees cooler this afternoon compared
to yesterday at this time. The rain will continue to push southeast,
with most of the activity leaving the area by the late afternoon.
However, we could have a few isolated storms hang around the I-10
corridor into the evening. Rain chances will end tonight, leaving
tomorrow drier with temperatures right around normal (highs in the
mid 80s).
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 231 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
A weak high pressure ridge develops for the remainder of this
week, which will act to keep temperatures warm and dry. Then, the
GFS and ECMWF both depict a low pressure developing across the
southern end of California and Arizona. This system will weaken
the higher pressure, but most of the rain will remain off to the
west of our area through the weekend. By early next week, this low
appears to weaken and move east towards the Plains. However, rain
chances will still remain minimal through next week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1243 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
The cold front has moved south of our terminals, leaving north
winds across our area today. Showers will continue for a few more
hours at KBBD, KSOA, and KJCT. Most of this activity will move out
of our area by the late afternoon. MVFR CIGs will continue to
scatter out and lift over the next few hours, leaving VFR
conditions across the area for this evening and overnight.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     62  84  60  89 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  59  84  57  89 /  10   0   0   0
Junction    62  86  56  89 /  30  10   0   0
Brownwood   61  85  57  88 /  10   0   0   0
Sweetwater  61  84  61  89 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       61  86  58  88 /  20   0   0   0
Brady       62  83  58  86 /  20   0   0   0
&&
.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...AP
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...AP

NWS SJT Office Area Forecast Discussion