Brogdon, South Carolina Weather Forecast Discussion

435
FXUS62 KCAE 091051
AFDCAE
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Columbia SC
651 AM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will dominate the weather pattern through the week
with dry conditions and a slow warming trend.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Key Message(s):
- Continued dry weather with temps a bit below normal.
A warm season wedge will be in place today, keeping temps below
normal. It will also provide a consistent source of dry air at
low levels allowing for a lot of sunshine, although it may
become filtered through high clouds later in the afternoon and
evening.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Key message(s):
- High pressure maintains a dry pattern with gradually warming
  temperatures.
Upper trough axis to our west at the start of the period moves
east and then southeast on Friday. An upper low may develop over
North Carolina Friday night as the trough sharpens. At the
surface, the pattern changes little with strong high pressure to
our north maintaining a dry air mass. A reinforcing shot of dry
air drops PWATs into the 0.5 to 0.75 inch range Wednesday
morning, gradually recovering through the remainder of the
period. With this in mind, dewpoints were lowered on Wednesday
and Wednesday night. Guidance continues to show a gradual
warming trend despite the aforementioned upper pattern with near
normal daytime temperatures Thursday and Friday, likely due to
the abundant sunshine expected combined with the September sun
angle.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Key message(s):
- Slightly cooler on Saturday followed by another warming trend.
- A dry forecast continues through the extended.
Upper trough and possible upper low will be positioned along the
east coast on Saturday, replaced by ridging on Sunday and
especially Monday. High pressure at the surface maintains dry
conditions through the period with rain not expected.
Temperatures on Saturday could be slightly cooler than Friday,
followed by a warming trend early next week.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR conditions through tonight with a high pressure ridge nearby.
We will see occasional high clouds, but nothing to impact the
terminals. There will be periods of wind gusts again today, but
they should mainly be 20 knots or less.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...Mainly VFR conditions expected.
&&
.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...None.
GA...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...

NWS CAE Office Area Forecast Discussion