Brandon, Florida Weather Forecast Discussion

747
FXUS62 KTBW 191426
AFDTBW
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
1026 AM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1026 AM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Drier air in place will keep only a 20 percent chance of showers
across the southern zones later this afternoon. NE flow will
mainly be in place across the area with a turn to the north in the
afternoon along the coast as a weak sea breeze develops. Highs are
on track to reach into the upper 80s to lower 90s. Have no updates
planned. Drier conditions continue through the weekend, then
moisture returns across the area for next week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 1026 AM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Light NE flow increases through the afternoon to 8-10 knots, then
becoming more N/NW as a weak sea breeze develops near the coast. A
stray shower may be possible across the southern terminals later
this afternoon, but chances are so low that have left it out of
the forecast. Winds become light and return to the NE for the
overnight hours, with SCT clouds clearing. VFR conditions prevail.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1026 AM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Generally NE flow will be in place across the coastal waters
through much of the period, becoming a bit more easterly by the
end of the period, and with an afternoon turn to the N/NW along
the coast as a weak sea breeze develops. Wind speeds will remain
generally 10-15kts or less through the period with dry conditions
continuing through the weekend. Current forecast is on track and
have little change for the update.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  92  75  92  75 /   0   0  10   0
FMY  92  73  92  74 /  20  10  20  10
GIF  92  73  92  73 /  10   0  20   0
SRQ  91  73  91  73 /  10   0  10  10
BKV  92  68  92  69 /   0   0  10   0
SPG  89  76  90  75 /   0   0  10  10
&&
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Friday: 2
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 3
For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology
&&
.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Hubbard
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Carlisle

NWS TBW Office Area Forecast Discussion