Bledso, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

413
FXUS64 KLUB 301738
AFDLUB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1238 PM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1237 PM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
- Dry and unseasonably warm temperatures expected the rest of the
   week, with highs at least 10 degrees above seasonal normals.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 1237 PM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
After a few showers this morning across the far southeastern Texas
Panhandle, mostly dry conditions are expected area-wide as the upper
level shortwave ejects to the northeast in response to a building
upper level ridge to our south. At the surface, winds will continue
out of the southwest as a lee side low digs into portions of
southeastern CO. Although height values remain near stationary, a
subtle uptick in thickness values combined with the warm southerly
surface flow and clear skies will lead to temperatures back in the
80s area-wide. Tonight, overnight lows will be slightly warmer, in
the mid 50s to near 60 degrees as a warmer airmass remains locked in
place. Heading into Wednesday, little overall change is expected, as
the upper level high shifts overhead and subsidence maintain warming
temperatures along with dry conditions.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 1237 PM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
Main theme of the long term is the potential for unseasonably warm
temperatures towards the end of the work week. The upper level ridge
will continue to amplify into portions of the Central Plains with
center of the upper level high positioned across the Mexican
Plateau. As a result, we will continue to see thickness and height
values increase which combined with southwesterly flow at the
surface will aid in temperatures climbing a few degrees each
afternoon. Expect highs Thursday and Friday in the low to mid 90s
which is about 10 degrees above normal for this time of year.
Unfortunately, not much to report for precipitation this week as
similar to the short term subsidence aloft will likely limit any
shower and thunderstorm potential. The synoptic pattern begins to
change this weekend, with the upper level ridge shifting eastward in
response to an upper level shortwave trough translating through the
Intermountain West. Height values associated with this system will
allow highs across the region to drop a few degrees. Although still
above seasonal normals, expect slightly cooler highs through the
weekend in the upper 80s to lower 90s.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1237 PM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
SIGWX NIL
&&
.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...12
LONG TERM....12
AVIATION...SRC

NWS LUB Office Area Forecast Discussion