366 FXUS66 KOTX 172128 AFDOTXArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Spokane WA 228 PM PDT Wed Sep 17 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Warm and dry through the end of the week.
- Weekend cold front to deliver breezy conditions and a chance of mainly mountain showers
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.SYNOPSIS... High pressure over the region will bring warm and dry conditions through the work week. Unsettled weather returns this weekend with breezy winds and a chance of mainly mountain showers.
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.DISCUSSION... Today through Friday: The ridge currently in place over the state has raised temperatures to roughly ten degrees above normal for this time of year. High temperatures today will be in the mid to high 80s, with low temperatures in the low to mid 50s. These temperatures will stay very similar through Friday, even as the ridge moves eastward and out of the area. Conditions will continue drying, with relative humidities dropping into the low to mid 20s. Overall, though, through Friday conditions will remain warm and dry.
Saturday through Monday: On Saturday, a low pressure off the coast of Alaska will slide down to the PNW coast, bringing a cooler and windier pattern change to the area, as well as some chances for precipitation. Temperatures lower slightly from Friday to Saturday, but the real change happens on Sunday. Temperatures will drop from the mid-80s down into the mid-70s, and a cold front passage will bring breezy to gusty westerly winds through the area on Saturday, Sunday, and Monday. On Saturday and Monday, wind gusts could reach 15-20 mph in some areas, with the Waterville Plateau seeing slightly higher wind gusts up to 25 mph. Sunday will be the windiest of the three days, with largely widespread wind gusts up to 15 25 mph, including the Spokane/Coeur d`Alene, Lewiston/Pullman, Moses Lake, Waterville Plateau, and Upper Columbia Basin areas. This could lead to some fire weather headlines even though relative humidity values are not critical due to dry fuels. This will mostly be a dry cold front, with rain only anticipated in mountain areas.
Tuesday through Wednesday: On Tuesday, another ridge will build over the area, this time over much of the Western US. A low pressure system sitting off the Pacific Coast could push a couple shortwaves into the area, bringing light amounts of precipitation. This precipitation will be confined to eastern Washington, Okanogan Valley and Highlands, and Western Okanogan County. Precipitation amounts will be less than a tenth of an inch. However, cluster consensus varies on how strong the ridge will be and where the ridge axis is. A couple of the clusters show the low off the Pacific Coast strengthening, but a couple of the clusters have the low weakening. There is also variability on the duration of the broad ridge. There is overall agreement on a low pressure system moving in off the PNW coast near the end of the next week, which could bring a more active weather pattern to the state next weekend, but since clusters are struggling to agree we will have to watch and see how the forecast evolves. /AS
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.AVIATION... 18Z TAFS: High pressure over the region will deliver clear skies and light terrain driven winds through the forecast period.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: High confidence in VFR conditions for TAF sites through 18z Thursday.
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Confidence descriptors: Low - Less than a 30 percent chance Moderate - 30 to 70 percent chance High - Greater than a 70 percent chance
For additional probabilistic information for NWS Spokane airports, please refer to the Aviation Dashboard on our webpage: https:/weather.gov/otx/avndashboard
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.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs... Spokane 54 84 55 84 54 83 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 Coeur d`Alene 56 84 56 84 55 83 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pullman 51 83 52 81 51 80 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 Lewiston 59 87 61 87 60 87 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 Colville 44 84 44 84 44 82 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 Sandpoint 49 82 51 82 49 80 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 Kellogg 58 83 58 82 58 80 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 Moses Lake 51 85 53 86 51 84 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 Wenatchee 60 84 60 86 59 84 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 Omak 56 85 56 86 54 84 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
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.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WA...None. ID...None.
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NWS OTX Office Area Forecast Discussion